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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >70m | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <46m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 46-52m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 52-58m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 58-64m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 64-70m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 559d | nonkenny90 | >70m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 561d | aviato3 fills | >70m | SellYes>99¢ | $6,143 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 561d | jinsun... | >70m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,954 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 562d | AreWeNotEntertained5 fills | >70m | BuyYes>99¢ | $106,155 | +$110 +0.1% | 4 |
| 562d | AreWeNotEntertained3 fills | 64-70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,303 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 562d | aviato | 52-58m | SellNo>99¢ | $3,194 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 562d |  GUHHH | 58-64m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,664 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 562d | pi227 | >70m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 563d |  enderone | 64-70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,926 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 563d |  hegtw | >70m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 563d |  Vespuccii | >70m | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,728 | −$31 −1.8% | — |
| 564d | cigarettes8 fills | <46m | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,701 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 564d | cigarettes7 fills | 58-64m | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,068 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 564d | cigarettes6 fills | 46-52m | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,061 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 564d | cigarettes6 fills | 52-58m | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,067 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 564d | peso | >70m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,416 | −$39 −1.1% | — |
| 565d | cigarettes3 fills | 64-70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,956 | +$20 +0.3% | 4 |
| 565d | Winninghumbly | >70m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$9 +0.7% | 4 |
| 565d |  aenews28 fills | >70m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $27,398 | +$405 +1.5% | 4 |
| 565d | nonkenny90 | >70m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | +$20 +1.3% | 4 |
| 565d | Astrielle | 64-70m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $53,974 | +$326 +0.6% | 4 |
| 565d | jinsun... | >70m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,655 | +$55 +2.1% | 4 |
| 565d |  seitn | 52-58m | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,310 | −$23 −0.7% | — |
| 565d | seitn | 52-58m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,320 | +$13 +0.4% | 4 |
| 565d |  Cajetan | 52-58m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,046 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 565d | Cajetan | 46-52m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,047 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 565d | Cajetan | <46m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 565d | Cajetan | 58-64m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 565d | Cajetan | 64-70m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 566d |  Negeto2 fills | >70m | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,560 | +$201 +7.9% | 4 |
| 566d | GUHHH | 64-70m | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,848 | +$352 +19% | 5 |
| 567d | Temp69 | >70m | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 4 |
| 567d |  New.Jeans | >70m | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | −$860 −33% | — |
| 569d | Vespuccii | 52-58m | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,822 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 570d | Vespuccii | 52-58m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$184 +11% | 4 |
| 570d | Occasionalbettor2 fills | <46m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,177 | +$134 +2.6% | 4 |
| 571d | blasttt | 46-52m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,153 | +$551 +11% | 4 |
| 572d | New.Jeans | 52-58m | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $2,348 | −$2,348 −100% | 7 |
This market will resolve according to how much “Minecraft” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 4 - April 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by April 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >70m means the market gives it about 100%.