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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 99% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 98¢ · >99¢ (2¢) | $249 | in 69d |
| Shohei Ohtani | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Kyle Schwarber | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 20d |
| Sal Stewart | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 20d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243d | IHadADream | Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | SellNo28¢ → 100¢ | $4,188 | −$10,770 −257% | — |
| 243d | IHadADream2 fills | Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,509 | +$449 +3.1% | 4 |
| 245d | Kyle Schwarber | SellNo49¢ → >99¢ | $19,600 | −$20,380 −104% | — | |
| 245d | porkaIvaSal-W | Kyle Schwarber | BuyYes50¢ → <1¢ | $20,000 | −$19,980 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 99¢ for Pete Crow-Armstrong means the market gives it about 99%.