| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 617 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $515 | −$15 −2.9% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Ends in 1d | No | 544 | 45¢ → 91¢ | $497 | +$250 +101% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 521 | 72¢ → 95¢ | $495 | +$121 +32% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 517 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $481 | +$62 +15% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 526 | 32¢ → 91¢ | $478 | +$312 +188% |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 546 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $472 | +$51 +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 21?Ends ended | No | 425 | 63¢ → 99¢ | $420 | +$154 +58% |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 429 | 37¢ → 98¢ | $419 | +$259 +162% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | No | 462 | 68¢ → 88¢ | $404 | +$92 +29% |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 438 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $403 | +$49 +14% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 441 | 59¢ → 91¢ | $402 | +$141 +54% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Ends in 1d | Yes | 441 | 22¢ → 90¢ | $398 | +$302 +316% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 400 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $391 | +$49 +14% |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 448 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $388 | +$98 +34% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 410 | 36¢ → 92¢ | $375 | +$229 +157% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 466 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $371 | −$20 −5.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 20?Ends ended | No | 368 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $368 | +$86 +31% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 434 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $360 | +$26 +7.8% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 378 | 56¢ → 94¢ | $355 | +$145 +69% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 436 | 63¢ → 81¢ | $353 | +$78 +28% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 600 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $351 | −$30 −7.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 21?Ends ended | No | 339 | 57¢ → >99¢ | $339 | +$146 +76% |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Ends in 161d | Yes | 426 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $338 | +$16 +4.8% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 390 | 31¢ → 87¢ | $337 | +$216 +177% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 21?Ends ended | No | 335 | 66¢ → 99¢ | $331 | +$112 +51% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 3d | Yes | 489 | 72¢ → 67¢ | $329 | −$21 −6.1% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 348 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $328 | +$38 +13% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 474 | 86¢ → 67¢ | $319 | −$91 −22% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 324 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $314 | +$32 +11% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 326 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $301 | +$58 +24% |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 102d | No | 436 | 60¢ → 69¢ | $301 | +$39 +15% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 13d | No | 305 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $297 | +$14 +4.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?Ends in 10d | Yes | 409 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $297 | +$9 +3.1% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 14d | Yes | 306 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $296 | +$48 +19% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 415 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $288 | +$8 +2.9% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 419 | 40¢ → 68¢ | $285 | +$118 +71% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20?Ends ended | No | 286 | 70¢ → 98¢ | $281 | +$80 +40% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 452 | 44¢ → 60¢ | $269 | +$72 +37% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Ends in 71d | No | 295 | 46¢ → 91¢ | $267 | +$131 +96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 20?Ends ended | No | 267 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $267 | +$44 +20% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 40d | No | 538 | 45¢ → 49¢ | $264 | +$21 +8.8% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 323 | 69¢ → 82¢ | $263 | +$41 +18% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 322 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $262 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 272 | 57¢ → 95¢ | $257 | +$102 +65% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 498 | 44¢ → 52¢ | $256 | +$36 +16% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 342 | 65¢ → 74¢ | $251 | +$30 +14% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 400 | 86¢ → 63¢ | $250 | −$92 −27% |
| Will Trump say "Filibuster" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?Ends ended | No | 300 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $249 | −$3 −1.2% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 102d | No | 407 | 57¢ → 60¢ | $244 | +$13 +5.8% |
| Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 255 | 34¢ → 96¢ | $244 | +$156 +177% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 170 and 180 million views on week 1?Ends in 2d | No | 244 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $244 | +$33 +16% |
| Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 249 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $243 | +$18 +8.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 245 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $237 | +$3 +1.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 20?Ends ended | No | 236 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $235 | +$54 +30% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 78d | No | 238 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $232 | +$54 +30% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 97d | Yes | 420 | 51¢ → 55¢ | $231 | +$17 +7.8% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 320 | 56¢ → 72¢ | $229 | +$49 +27% |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 235 | 44¢ → 96¢ | $225 | +$121 +116% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 21?Ends ended | No | 226 | 64¢ → 99¢ | $224 | +$80 +55% |
| Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?Ends ended | No | 350 | 28¢ → 64¢ | $224 | +$127 +131% |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?Ends ended | No | 400 | 59¢ → 56¢ | $224 | −$10 −4.3% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 6d | No | 287 | 70¢ → 75¢ | $215 | +$14 +6.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 71d | No | 318 | 25¢ → 67¢ | $212 | +$133 +168% |
| Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 72d | No | 230 | 69¢ → 90¢ | $207 | +$49 +31% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 40d | No | 225 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $204 | −$5 −2.5% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 3d | No | 300 | 61¢ → 68¢ | $203 | +$20 +11% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 206 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $202 | +$13 +6.6% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 207 | 31¢ → 97¢ | $201 | +$137 +211% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?Ends in 2d | No | 200 | 85¢ → >99¢ | $200 | +$30 +18% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 4d | No | 220 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $199 | +$20 +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?Ends in 5h | Yes | 266 | 46¢ → 74¢ | $198 | +$76 +63% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 290 | 61¢ → 68¢ | $196 | +$19 +11% |
| Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 28d | Yes | 355 | 54¢ → 55¢ | $195 | +$4 +2.1% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 419 | 43¢ → 47¢ | $195 | +$14 +7.9% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 224 | 71¢ → 85¢ | $190 | +$31 +19% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 40d | No | 194 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $190 | +$4 +2.1% |
| Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 221 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $185 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 21?Ends ended | No | 240 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $183 | +$5 +2.8% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 200 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$27 +17% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 40d | No | 240 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $183 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 201 | 72¢ → 91¢ | $182 | +$38 +27% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 468 | 65¢ → 39¢ | $182 | −$124 −40% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 232 | 46¢ → 77¢ | $179 | +$72 +67% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 276 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $178 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $176 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 205 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $175 | +$13 +8.3% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 4d | No | 242 | 84¢ → 72¢ | $173 | −$30 −15% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 194 | 66¢ → 89¢ | $172 | +$44 +34% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 21?Ends ended | No | 255 | 65¢ → 68¢ | $172 | +$7 +4.3% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 4d | No | 272 | 59¢ → 61¢ | $166 | +$5 +3.2% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 447 | 43¢ → 37¢ | $163 | −$28 −15% |
| Will "I Love Boosters" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 144d | Yes | 500 | 56¢ → 33¢ | $163 | −$119 −42% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Ends in 43d | No | 190 | 63¢ → 86¢ | $162 | +$43 +36% |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Ends in 10d | No | 213 | 68¢ → 76¢ | $162 | +$17 +12% |
| Will "Agapito" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 144d | No | 200 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $160 | +$15 +10% |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 424 | 45¢ → 38¢ | $160 | −$32 −17% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 71d | No | 229 | 62¢ → 70¢ | $160 | +$17 +12% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 3d | No | 242 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $159 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 184 | 67¢ → 86¢ | $158 | +$36 +29% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | No | 196 | 54¢ → 81¢ | $158 | +$52 +49% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 21?Ends ended | No | 157 | 64¢ → >99¢ | $157 | +$56 +55% |
