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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$180m | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$135m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $135-150m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $150-165m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $165-180m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 690d | ticksol | <$135m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,050 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 690d |  RememberAmalek | >$180m | SellYes>99¢ | $34,326 | −$34 −0.1% | — |
| 690d | rpo | >$180m | SellYes>99¢ | $4,022 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 690d |  pirateshere | >$180m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,032 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 690d | longtern | >$180m | SellYes>99¢ | $2,433 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 690d |  ARudeEgg | >$180m | SellYes>99¢ | $5,131 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 690d | longtern | $135-150m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,433 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 690d | MineGuyBondTemp | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,348 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 690d | pirateshere | $135-150m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,032 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 690d | Nahhhhhh | $135-150m | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,999 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 690d | Nahhhhhh | <$135m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,745 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 690d | cigarettes2 fills | $135-150m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,300 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 690d |  WordleAddict6 fills | >$180m | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $42,886 | +$5,017 +12% | 6 |
| 690d | cigarettes | <$135m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,053 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 690d | Occasionalbettor | <$135m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,717 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 690d | Winninghumbly | >$180m | SellYes>99¢ | $2,987 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 690d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $50,957 | +$51 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d | main012 fills | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,336 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d | vuhalfhudzaovolkhawtdfgt | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,894 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d | parkerpete | >$180m | SellYes>99¢ | $9,012 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 691d | cipherpilot2 fills | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $47,679 | +$48 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d | astromage | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,922 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d | leiger | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,491 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d | glarity | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,568 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d |  iamhungry | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,354 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d |  ANudeEgg | $165-180m | SellNo>99¢ | $6,387 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 691d | ANudeEgg | $150-165m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,743 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 691d |  Justitia | <$135m | SellNo>99¢ | $26,283 | −$52 −0.2% | — |
| 691d | Khan1407 | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,751 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d |  enderone | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,086 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 691d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | >$180m | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,778 | +$25 +0.3% | 4 |
| 691d | rpo | <$135m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,306 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 692d | ARudeEgg | <$135m | SellNo>99¢ | $19,557 | −$39 −0.2% | — |
| 692d | ARudeEgg4 fills | $135-150m | SellNo>99¢ | $26,409 | −$97 −0.4% | — |
| 692d | aviato | >$180m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 692d |  MMousse | >$180m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,970 | −$56 −0.7% | — |
| 692d | Winninghumbly6 fills | <$135m | SellNo>99¢ | $28,133 | −$67 −0.2% | — |
| 692d | MMousse5 fills | $135-150m | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,958 | +$28 +0.1% | 4 |
| 692d | aviato | $135-150m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,182 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 692d | 1mperator17 | >$180m | SellYes>99¢ | $2,012 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 692d | RememberAmalek | <$135m | SellNo>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 692d |  GUHHH | $135-150m | SellNo>99¢ | $4,220 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | ticksol | <$135m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 692d | MMousse4 fills | $150-165m | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,275 | +$38 +0.4% | 4 |
| 692d | MMousse4 fills | <$135m | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,702 | +$69 +0.2% | 4 |
| 692d | TheBoyBilly... | >$180m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 692d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | <$135m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,801 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 692d | MMousse6 fills | $165-180m | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,283 | +$88 +0.3% | 4 |
| 692d | aviato | <$135m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,098 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 692d |  Pidor🐓 | >$180m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,738 | −$79 −0.9% | — |
| 692d | XRwGHbOxBN545637 fills | <$135m | SellNo>99¢ | $13,216 | −$26 −0.2% | — |
| 692d | XRwGHbOxBN545637 fills | <$135m | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,229 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 693d |  carp3 fills | >$180m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $27,170 | −$295 −1.1% | — |
| 693d | carp | $165-180m | SellNo100¢ | $2,469 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 693d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | $165-180m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 693d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | $135-150m | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,216 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 693d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | <$135m | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,753 | +$27 +0.1% | 4 |
| 693d |  aenews210 fills | >$180m | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $55,250 | +$6,034 +11% | 5 |
| 693d | cigarettes2 fills | $150-165m | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,238 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 693d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | $150-165m | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
BobLeeSwagger911,656 sharesThis is a negrisk market group over the opening weekend box office figures for 'Moana 2'.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$180m means the market gives it about 100%.