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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Democrat | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 733d | Republican | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,473 | −$66 −2.6% | — | |
| 739d | Democrat | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,301 | −$139 −2.2% | — | |
| 745d | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,687 | +$11 +0.4% | 10 | |
| 745d | Democrat | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,639 | +$59 +2.2% | 10 | |
| 746d | Republican | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,232 | +$225 +5.3% | 10 | |
| 767d | Democrat | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $15,042 | +$486 +3.2% | 10 | |
| 767d | Democrat | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$33 +3.1% | 10 | |
| 767d | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 804d | Republican | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,185 | +$115 +5.3% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Montana Governor election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Republican means the market gives it about 100%.