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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −88 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 756d | VvVv | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,284 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 756d |  MotherTeresa | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,438 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 756d | 0xF95E582F076231a0793487B076CfA8b7 | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,483 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 756d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,334 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 756d |  UncleSmurf | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,989 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 756d |  MisTKy32 fills | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,877 | +$94 +1.4% | 4 |
| 756d |  ImJustKen3 fills | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $35,649 | +$702 +2.0% | 4 |
| 756d | commeowder | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$23 +2.2% | 4 |
| 756d |  JJo | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | +$38 +2.5% | 4 |
| 756d | Loveisasimple | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyYes4¢ → 0¢ | $1,648 | −$1,648 −100% | 8 |
| 756d | merenginoSenglebie | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | −$56 −4.5% | — |
| 756d | merenginoSenglebie | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | +$32 +2.6% | 4 |
| 756d |  aenews2 | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,350 | +$150 +2.0% | 4 |
| 756d | 252 | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,030 | +$93 +1.5% | 4 |
| 756d |  Erasmus. | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,959 | +$41 +2.1% | 4 |
| 756d |  palisade3 fills | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $24,876 | +$580 +2.3% | 4 |
| 756d | Yaremi | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,032 | −$1,032 −100% | 4 |
| 756d | Ftor1 | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,464 | −$30 −2.0% | — |
| 756d | MotherTeresa | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$52 +4.2% | 4 |
| 756d |  occasionalAwareness | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $4,050 | +$950 +23% | 4 |
| 756d | Pondermint | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,340 | +$660 +28% | 4 |
| 757d | blummy | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 5 |
| 757d |  Blunderton | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,452 | +$577 +24% | 4 |
| 757d |  XAE12Archangel | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$271 +24% | 4 |
| 757d | FL500 | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$246 +25% | 4 |
| 757d | Cbarbhwux2 fills | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $3,305 | +$3,013 +91% | 4 |
| 757d |  just.some.guy2 fills | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $2,877 | −$2,877 −100% | 4 |
| 757d |  sigh | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,235 | −$1,235 −100% | 4 |
| 757d | ImJustKen | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $2,010 | −$2,010 −100% | 4 |
| 757d |  password | Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31? | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,550 | −$1,550 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hassan Nasrallah remains the Secretary-General of Hezbollah uninterrupted from September 16, to October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.