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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Chestnut | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Patrick Bertoletti | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| James Webb | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nick Wehry | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Geoffrey Esper | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Stanford | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Derek Hendrickson | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Chigar | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ricardo Corbucci | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gideon Oji | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Adrian Morgan | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Radim Dvoracek | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Darrien Thomas | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cameron Meade | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jerome Burns | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 476d |  DoctorManhattan | Joey Chestnut | SellYes>99¢ | $1,044 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 477d | Folletin | Joey Chestnut | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,385 | +$74 +5.3% | 6 |
| 477d |  1of1bray2 fills | Joey Chestnut | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,814 | +$148 +5.3% | 6 |
Alison1Burgers1,000 shares
diamondjim21125 sharesThis is a market to predict which contestant will win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed contestant wins the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest is canceled or postponed past July 4, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official results from Major League Eating (https://majorleagueeating.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used in the event of ambiguity.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Joey Chestnut means the market gives it about 100%.