| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 27,416 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $25,360 | +$147 +0.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 19,529 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $17,791 | +$2,690 +18% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 15,759 | 64¢ → 93¢ | $14,577 | +$4,503 +45% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 17,299 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $14,272 | +$60 +0.4% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 12,753 | 52¢ → 97¢ | $12,313 | +$5,647 +85% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 11,991 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $10,372 | +$188 +1.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10,635 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $9,944 | +$2,062 +26% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 8,432 | 76¢ → 57¢ | $4,848 | −$1,590 −25% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 4,512 | 71¢ → 81¢ | $3,655 | +$435 +14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,306 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $2,364 | +$28 +1.2% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,322 | 60¢ → 94¢ | $2,182 | +$797 +57% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 6,799 | 36¢ → 25¢ | $1,666 | −$777 −32% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 4,456 | 8¢ → 33¢ | $1,453 | +$1,079 +289% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 1,546 | 91¢ → 85¢ | $1,307 | −$94 −6.7% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 69d | No | 1,288 | 49¢ → 93¢ | $1,198 | +$572 +91% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,120 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $958 | −$6 −0.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,100 | 81¢ → 72¢ | $792 | −$99 −11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,005 | 68¢ → 74¢ | $739 | +$55 +8.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,005 | 62¢ → 59¢ | $588 | −$35 −5.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,005 | 52¢ → 57¢ | $578 | +$55 +11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,368 | 50¢ → 35¢ | $472 | −$210 −31% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3,058 | 7¢ → 15¢ | $468 | +$252 +117% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 22,990 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $460 | +$322 +233% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 3,834 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $441 | −$124 −22% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 7,541 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $403 | −$6 −1.5% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 372 | 53¢ → 96¢ | $359 | +$162 +82% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 7,070 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $353 | −$84 −19% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 885 | 41¢ → 37¢ | $331 | −$33 −9.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 2,342 | 14¢ → 12¢ | $281 | −$37 −12% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,005 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $196 | −$5 −2.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 559 | 33¢ → 28¢ | $159 | −$25 −14% |
| Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 220d | Yes | 539 | 50¢ → 24¢ | $129 | −$140 −52% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 13,651 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $102 | −$6 −5.2% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 600 | 3¢ → 16¢ | $94 | +$76 +420% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 274 | 61¢ → 33¢ | $89 | −$77 −47% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3,000 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $83 | +$8 +10% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends ended | No | 138 | 49¢ → 48¢ | $65 | −$2 −3.1% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 674 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $54 | −$40 −43% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?Ends in 128d | Yes | 85 | 25¢ → 57¢ | $49 | +$28 +130% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,000 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $48 | −$81 −63% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 8,070 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $44 | −$265 −86% |
| Will Fulham qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 220d | Yes | 210 | 2¢ → 15¢ | $32 | +$27 +635% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 72 | 55¢ → 33¢ | $23 | −$16 −41% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 180 | 78¢ → 12¢ | $21 | −$120 −85% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | Yes | 824 | 22¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$169 −95% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,845 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$59 −88% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$1 −59% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?Ends in 434d | Yes | 23 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −46% |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 271 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −98% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 118 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −98% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,090 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,919 −100% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Spain | 200 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,339 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 589 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$412 −100% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,657 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$692 −100% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 935 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 859 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 617 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$335 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Settled - ready to redeem | Leadership Change | 298 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,108 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,110 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$766 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,470 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,159 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,247 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,879 −100% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 259 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 220 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,560 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Trump signs housing bill by end of July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 590 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 440 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,299 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$368 −100% |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,259 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$163 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 441 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 575 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$234 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 142 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 440 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 330 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$201 −100% |
| Will Darline Graham win at least 30% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,409 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,033 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$173 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AugustSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 91 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,476 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,581 −100% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,959 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,315 −100% |
