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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 777d |  AgricultureSecretary | National Guard deployed to Aurora by next Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,439 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 780d | lug | National Guard deployed to Aurora by next Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,558 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 781d |  just.some.guy3 fills | National Guard deployed to Aurora by next Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,160 | +$270 +3.8% | 4 |
| 782d |  TimeQuestion2 fills | National Guard deployed to Aurora by next Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,149 | +$251 +2.1% | 4 |
| 784d | lug | National Guard deployed to Aurora by next Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$184 +7.7% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US National Guard is deployed in Aurora, Colorado in response to gang activity between August 29 and September 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only the actual deployment of the US National Guard (including the Colorado National Guard) will suffice for this market to resolve to "Yes"; an announcement of a future deployment alone will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.