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Polymarket wallet 0xfc94a39e2ebcb13f65472994c8351df2af4d1850 · on Polymarket since Aug 19, 2024 · also shown as Well-Informed-Vol
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 520 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 705 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 127 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Biden say "Resign" at DNC speech?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 214 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Biden speak at the DNC?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| National Guard deployed to Aurora by next Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 748 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 783d | National Guard deployed to Aurora by next Friday? | BuyYes2¢ | $15 |
| 796d | Will Biden speak at the DNC? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 796d | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyYes<1¢ | $3 |
| 796d | Will Trump drop out of presidential race? | BuyYes5¢ | $7 |
| 796d | Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC? | BuyYes14¢ | $30 |
| 796d | Will Biden say "Resign" at DNC speech? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 796d | Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 796d | Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race? | BuyYes6¢ | $40 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.