Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 20% | −4 pts | +5 pts | 17¢ · 22¢ (5¢) | — | — |
| Notre Dame | 44% | −1 pts | −10 pts | 40¢ · 48¢ (8¢) | — | in 97d |
| Oregon | 6% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 12¢ (11¢) | — | in 97d |
| Miami (FL) | 47% | — | +2 pts | 39¢ · 55¢ (16¢) | — | — |
| Ohio St. | 36% | −1 pts | −20 pts | 31¢ · 40¢ (9¢) | — | in 97d |
| Indiana | 33% | −4 pts | −5 pts | 17¢ · 48¢ (31¢) | — | — |
| Alabama | 28% | +1 pts | −8 pts | 21¢ · 36¢ (15¢) | — | — |
| Georgia | 51% | +2 pts | −5 pts | 47¢ · 55¢ (8¢) | — | — |
| Texas Tech | 49% | −1 pts | +41 pts | 8¢ · 90¢ (82¢) | — | in 97d |
| Florida | 49% | +1 pts | +38 pts | 1¢ · 96¢ (95¢) | — | — |
| Arkansas | 7% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 13¢ (11¢) | — | — |
| Vanderbilt | 46% | 0 pts | +32 pts | 1¢ · 90¢ (89¢) | — | in 97d |
| Kentucky | 45% | +1 pts | +32 pts | <1¢ · 90¢ (90¢) | — | in 97d |
| North Texas | 4% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 97d |
| Ole Miss | 13% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 6¢ · 20¢ (14¢) | — | — |
| Baylor | 46% | 0 pts | +36 pts | 1¢ · 92¢ (91¢) | — | — |
| Miami (OH) | 14% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 27¢ (26¢) | — | in 97d |
| Washington | 41% | 0 pts | +28 pts | 1¢ · 82¢ (81¢) | — | in 97d |
| Illinois | 45% | — | +34 pts | 1¢ · 90¢ (89¢) | — | in 97d |
| Pittsburgh | 44% | −2 pts | +30 pts | <1¢ · 87¢ (87¢) | — | in 97d |
| TCU | 45% | +2 pts | +33 pts | <1¢ · 90¢ (90¢) | — | in 97d |
| USC | 44% | −1 pts | +30 pts | 1¢ · 86¢ (85¢) | — | in 97d |
| James Madison | 15% | — | +4 pts | 1¢ · 29¢ (28¢) | — | in 97d |
| Penn St. | 43% | −4 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 83¢ (81¢) | — | in 97d |
| Texas | 16% | +1 pts | −21 pts | 9¢ · 23¢ (14¢) | $16.9 | — |
| Kansas St. | 49% | +2 pts | +36 pts | <1¢ · 97¢ (97¢) | — | — |
| Arizona | 46% | −1 pts | −4 pts | <1¢ · 92¢ (92¢) | — | — |
| Arizona St. | 48% | +1 pts | +22 pts | <1¢ · 95¢ (95¢) | — | — |
| Auburn | 49% | +2 pts | +35 pts | <1¢ · 98¢ (98¢) | — | — |
| BYU | 48% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 93¢ (90¢) | — | — |
| California | 49% | — | +2 pts | <1¢ · 98¢ (98¢) | — | — |
| Clemson | 48% | 0 pts | +36 pts | 1¢ · 96¢ (95¢) | — | — |
| Florida St. | 44% | −1 pts | −6 pts | <1¢ · 88¢ (88¢) | — | in 97d |
| Georgia Tech | 48% | −1 pts | +29 pts | <1¢ · 96¢ (96¢) | — | — |
| Houston | 47% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 93¢ (92¢) | — | — |
| Iowa | 49% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 3¢ · 94¢ (91¢) | — | — |
| Louisville | 48% | +7 pts | +36 pts | <1¢ · 97¢ (97¢) | — | in 97d |
| Michigan | 50% | +5 pts | +30 pts | 2¢ · 97¢ (95¢) | — | in 97d |
| Missouri | 45% | — | +20 pts | 1¢ · 90¢ (90¢) | — | in 97d |
| North Carolina St. | 44% | −1 pts | +31 pts | 1¢ · 88¢ (87¢) | — | in 97d |
| Oklahoma | 45% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 2¢ · 88¢ (86¢) | — | in 97d |
| Oklahoma St. | 44% | −1 pts | −6 pts | <1¢ · 88¢ (88¢) | — | in 97d |
| South Carolina | 46% | +1 pts | +33 pts | 2¢ · 90¢ (88¢) | — | in 97d |
| SMU | 45% | −2 pts | +5 pts | 2¢ · 88¢ (86¢) | — | in 97d |
| Tennessee | 46% | — | +3 pts | 2¢ · 90¢ (88¢) | — | in 97d |
| Tulane | 17% | — | −33 pts | <1¢ · 34¢ (34¢) | — | in 97d |
| Texas A&M | 46% | +5 pts | +27 pts | 2¢ · 90¢ (88¢) | — | in 97d |
| Utah | 46% | +2 pts | +32 pts | 2¢ · 90¢ (88¢) | — | in 97d |
| Virginia | 43% | −2 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 85¢ (85¢) | — | in 97d |
| Virginia Tech | 45% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 90¢ (90¢) | — | in 97d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 20¢ for LSU means the market gives it about 20%.