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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDA | 100% | 0 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| GL/PvdA | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| PVV | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| D66 | 0% | 0 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| VVD | 0% | +1 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358d |  neverfear | CDA | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,740 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 358d |  verysensitive | GL/PvdA | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,972 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 359d | Po45 | CDA | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$11 +1.0% | 10 |
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fewest number of seats among the listed parties in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. Only listed parties will be considered. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” In the case of a tie between two or more of the listed parties for the fewest seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, it will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/). Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announces they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for CDA means the market gives it about 100%.