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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lose in Super Bowl | 100% | +31 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wild Card | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Divisional | 0% | −57 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Conference Championship | 0% | −33 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Win Super Bowl | 0% | −31 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257d | ForgetAboutBenjamin | Win Super Bowl | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,969 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d | ForgetAboutBenjamin | Lose in Super Bowl | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 257d |  geniusMC3 fills | Lose in Super Bowl | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $23,814 | +$6,412 +27% | 4 |
| 257d | geniusMC3 fills | Win Super Bowl | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $24,344 | +$7,690 +32% | 4 |
| 257d | geniusMC | Win Super Bowl | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,981 | −$932 −47% | — |
| 257d | geniusMC | Lose in Super Bowl | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,465 | −$1,160 −47% | — |
| 278d | SuperbowlorBust | Divisional | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,270 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the stage of elimination for the New England Patriots in the 2025–26 NFL Playoffs. The market will immediately resolve once the New England Patriots’ stage of elimination can be confirmed. If the New England Patriots’ stage of elimination has not been confirmed by February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lose in Super Bowl means the market gives it about 100%.