| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 28,075 | 49¢ → 88¢ | $24,565 | +$10,675 +77% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 28,256 | 74¢ → 60¢ | $16,812 | −$4,022 −19% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 6,953 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $6,640 | +$333 +5.3% |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026?Ends in 102d | No | 6,668 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $6,468 | +$665 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 15,702 | 29¢ → 40¢ | $6,202 | +$1,637 +36% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 12,969 | 32¢ → 41¢ | $5,252 | +$1,142 +28% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 5,000 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $4,772 | +$28 +0.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 6,122 | 68¢ → 61¢ | $3,704 | −$458 −11% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 29,702 | 20¢ → 9¢ | $2,584 | −$3,275 −56% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 22,135 | 36¢ → 11¢ | $2,324 | −$5,607 −71% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | Yes | 4,552 | 37¢ → 47¢ | $2,146 | +$478 +29% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 28,269 | 34¢ → 8¢ | $2,120 | −$7,541 −78% |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,125 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $2,048 | +$113 +5.9% |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 2,302 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $1,896 | +$322 +20% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 5,000 | 45¢ → 37¢ | $1,825 | −$428 −19% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 1,647 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $1,326 | +$74 +5.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 27,557 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $1,309 | −$4,159 −76% |
| Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,000 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $980 | +$58 +6.2% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 1,178 | 69¢ → 82¢ | $967 | +$153 +19% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 10,094 | 16¢ → 10¢ | $959 | −$617 −39% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 2,579 | 42¢ → 36¢ | $915 | −$168 −16% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 12,653 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $911 | −$672 −42% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 29,346 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $910 | −$3,732 −80% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 886 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $864 | +$58 +7.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,347 | 30¢ → 24¢ | $786 | −$230 −23% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 164d | Yes | 4,501 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $765 | +$69 +9.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 2,241 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $661 | −$34 −4.8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 6,636 | 21¢ → 10¢ | $630 | −$742 −54% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 619 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $602 | +$28 +4.9% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,951 | 15¢ → 26¢ | $497 | +$201 +68% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 4,963 | 14¢ → 9¢ | $459 | −$238 −34% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 9,268 | 25¢ → 4¢ | $329 | −$1,956 −86% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 912 | 32¢ → 35¢ | $315 | +$23 +7.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,000 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $305 | +$5 +1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 3,101 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $295 | −$225 −43% |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,965 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $287 | −$217 −43% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 727 | 32¢ → 36¢ | $262 | +$30 +13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 239 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $230 | +$15 +6.8% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 529 | 43¢ → 42¢ | $220 | −$8 −3.5% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,357 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $197 | +$43 +28% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 164d | Yes | 1,806 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $181 | −$52 −22% |
| Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 166 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $164 | +$7 +4.8% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 174 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $146 | +$14 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 233 | 57¢ → 57¢ | $134 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 148 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $132 | +$5 +4.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 134 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $131 | +$5 +4.4% |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 110 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $89 | −$2 −1.8% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | Yes | 5,110 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $84 | −$83 −50% |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 2,247 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $72 | −$202 −74% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 73d | No | 163 | 11¢ → 37¢ | $60 | +$43 +250% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 925 | 14¢ → 7¢ | $60 | −$74 −55% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 367 | 7¢ → 14¢ | $50 | +$24 +93% |
| Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$3 +7.4% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,669 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $47 | −$54 −54% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 73d | Yes | 70 | 41¢ → 63¢ | $44 | +$15 +54% |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $44 | +$4 +11% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,943 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $39 | −$307 −89% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 114 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $38 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 773 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $36 | +$2 +4.4% |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 824 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $36 | −$47 −57% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 88 | 49¢ → 38¢ | $33 | −$10 −24% |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 100 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $23 | −$6 −21% |
| Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 119 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $20 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 148 | 16¢ → 13¢ | $18 | −$5 −22% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 60 | 21¢ → 30¢ | $18 | +$5 +40% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 19 | 63¢ → 86¢ | $16 | +$4 +36% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 390 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $16 | −$15 −49% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 109 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $12 | +$3 +40% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 17 | 53¢ → 59¢ | $10 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 91 | 22¢ → 10¢ | $9 | −$11 −54% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 293 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$31 −79% |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 488 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | Yes | 59 | 7¢ → 12¢ | $7 | +$3 +64% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | Yes | 1,002 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$20 −78% |
| Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 164d | Yes | 1,101 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$4 −43% |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 118 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 146 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.9% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 36 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 99 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $5 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 164d | Yes | 95 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$5 −55% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 86 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$9 −69% |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 754 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$72 −96% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 84 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$2 −66% |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 43 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$4 −78% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 7 | 6¢ → 10¢ | $1 | +$0 +66% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 9 | 2¢ → 6¢ | $1 | +$0 +190% |
| Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?Ends in 1535d | Yes | 2 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $0 | +$0 +32% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 12 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −68% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 32 | 15¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$5 −96% |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36,464 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,131 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$423 −100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,216 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 232 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,808 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,304 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$933 −100% |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,530 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,730 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$208 −100% |
