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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 971d | professorx3 fills | New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,413 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 971d | New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,991 | +$80 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 971d | tremp420 | New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | +$8 +0.6% | 4 |
| 972d | New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,285 | +$192 +4.5% | 5 | |
| 972d | New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$80 +6.2% | 6 |
On February 23, 2024 it was reported that the military is tracking an unidentified high-altitude balloon over the western part of the United States: (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/military-tracking-balloon-western-us-military/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the new "mystery balloon" reported floating over US territory is shot out of the sky by any means by Sunday, February 25, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the government of the United States of America, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.