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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Ceasefire in 2024 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| July | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 660d |  MMousse | December | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,117 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 660d | MMousse | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,330 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 660d |  syncope | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,218 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 660d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec4 fills | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,781 | +$564 +7.3% | 20 |
| 660d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | December | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,128 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 660d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,080 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 661d | gandalf | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,368 | +$7 +0.3% | 20 |
| 662d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | December | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,865 | +$9 +0.5% | 20 |
| 662d |  FrancisSP8 | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 662d | LeftieFTW | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 663d | LOIJHGIYJ3456789 | December | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$15 −1.4% | — |
| 663d | badatthis5 fills | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $5,758 | +$760 +13% | 20 |
| 665d |  itsfine2 fills | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,231 | +$328 +5.3% | 20 |
| 666d | itsfine | December | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,338 | +$76 +5.7% | 20 |
| 666d | jozeff | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,786 | −$114 −6.4% | — |
| 666d |  WashTrade | December | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,827 | −$173 −6.1% | — |
| 666d | WashTrade2 fills | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,305 | −$576 −11% | — |
| 667d |  mr.ozi2 fills | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,706 | +$794 +21% | 20 |
| 667d | 1boss | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,585 | +$119 +7.5% | 20 |
| 668d |  Erasmus. | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $6,039 | +$455 +7.5% | 20 |
| 668d |  Olive98 | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $7,011 | −$747 −11% | — |
| 668d | KJH235 | December | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$136 +9.0% | 20 |
| 668d |  Motorcycle | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$190 −18% | — |
| 669d |  ydxistheking | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$247 +22% | 20 |
| 669d |  missadventure | December | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$477 +24% | 20 |
| 669d | Motorcycle | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | +$306 +24% | 20 |
| 669d | Olive98 | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $6,235 | +$1,523 +24% | 20 |
| 669d | yerubaalAA | December | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$349 +28% | 20 |
| 669d |  Kaizer | December | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,094 | +$1,094 +100% | — |
| 669d | LOIJHGIYJ3456789 | December | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,159 | +$675 +31% | 20 |
| 670d | WashTrade5 fills | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $5,887 | +$1,972 +33% | 20 |
| 670d | couchfarm | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$383 −38% | — |
| 671d | WashTrade | December | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$318 +27% | 20 |
| 671d |  iwannakms | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellNo13¢ → 0¢ | $1,108 | +$1,108 +100% | — |
| 671d | iwannakms | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 20 |
| 672d | Cactusman77 | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | −$313 −29% | — |
| 672d | cigarettes2 fills | December | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,669 | +$656 +25% | 20 |
| 673d | couchfarm | December | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$965 +76% | 20 |
| 675d | hopetester | December | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 676d | 0x2370…0e10 | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$1,164 +86% | 20 |
| 676d | AmirD | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,751 | −$3,676 −210% | — |
| 676d |  WordleAddict | December | SellNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | −$1,019 −81% | — |
| 676d | ZeZeZe | December | SellNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,712 | −$1,376 −80% | — |
| 677d | ZeZeZe | December | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,089 +54% | 20 |
| 678d | WordleAddict | December | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$984 +90% | 20 |
| 679d |  MEPP2 fills | December | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $2,102 | −$2,102 −100% | 20 |
| 680d | Erasmus. | December | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $1,108 | −$1,108 −100% | 20 |
| 684d | N3kro | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,035 | +$1,145 +56% | 20 |
| 684d | JackSeraph | December | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$515 +51% | 20 |
| 690d | tedward111 | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$660 +43% | 20 |
| 690d | qqqrelive | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,923 +48% | 20 |
| 691d | Yoss1989 | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$1,086 −107% | — |
| 691d |  RepublicOfChina | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,351 | −$2,246 −96% | — |
| 691d | Utter-Serval | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$520 +52% | 20 |
| 691d | Kigen | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,370 | −$1,931 −81% | — |
| 693d | Yoss1989 | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$411 +41% | 20 |
| 693d | alex2945545 | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$501 +42% | 20 |
| 695d | 0x2370…0e10 | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $2,342 | −$2,342 −100% | 21 |
| 697d | 0xd848…626f | No Ceasefire in 2024 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$295 +20% | 20 |
| 700d |  raise4info | No Ceasefire in 2024 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,298 | −$628 −19% | — |
Golda-3462 sharesThis is a market on predicting the timing of the next ceasefire between Israel and Hamas.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No Ceasefire in 2024 means the market gives it about 100%.