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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| François Bayrou | 100% | +60 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| François Baroin | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bruno Retailleau | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lucie Castets | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Xavier Bertrand | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Catherine Vautrin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| David Lisnard | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roland Lescure | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jean-Yves Le Drian | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Michel Barnier | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 680d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | François Bayrou | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,959 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d |  456ythgbvcadscvb5 fills | François Bayrou | BuyYes>99¢ | $82,524 | +$83 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d |  Master-bettor | François Bayrou | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,833 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d | 3r3rsdfs | François Bayrou | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d | Gianni54 | François Bayrou | SellYes>99¢ | $1,125 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 680d | rpo | François Bayrou | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,585 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d |  aenews2 | François Bayrou | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 680d | VvVv | François Baroin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,623 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d | silentbob01 | François Bayrou | SellYes>99¢ | $1,437 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 680d | exothetajunkie | Bruno Retailleau | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | −$23 −2.1% | — |
| 680d | aenews2 | Lucie Castets | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,832 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d | aenews2 | François Baroin | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,847 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d | aenews2 | Bruno Retailleau | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,669 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d | aenews2 | Xavier Bertrand | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,208 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d | aenews2 | David Lisnard | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,585 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d | aenews2 | Jean-Yves Le Drian | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,879 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d | Shantrumpshan | François Bayrou | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$265 +18% | 4 |
| 680d | 1mperator17 | David Lisnard | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d | 1mperator17 | Xavier Bertrand | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 680d |  Car | David Lisnard | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,092 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 680d | Car2 fills | Michel Barnier | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,970 | +$54 +0.2% | 4 |
| 680d | exothetajunkie | Bruno Retailleau | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,088 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 680d |  Gemini456 | Jean-Yves Le Drian | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,350 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 680d | Gemini456 | Michel Barnier | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 680d | Car2 fills | Sébastien Lecornu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,647 | +$62 +1.3% | 4 |
| 680d | Car | Bruno Retailleau | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,948 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 680d | Car | François Baroin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,444 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 680d | Car | Lucie Castets | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,029 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 680d | Car | Xavier Bertrand | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,450 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 680d |  Axios2 fills | François Bayrou | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $7,611 | +$1,066 +14% | 4 |
| 685d | Car | Michel Barnier | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
This is a market group over who will be appointed the next Prime Minister of France.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for François Bayrou means the market gives it about 100%.