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Polymarket wallet 0x95bdbf65939e0ccb0a11dc944a61e432b7af9c66 · on Polymarket since Dec 12, 2024 · also shown as Babyish-Briefly
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| French election called by October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next French Prime Minister?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will 2024 be better than 2023?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| French election called by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 78 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 375d | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31? | BuyYes76¢ | $9 |
| 375d | Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? | BuyYes37¢ | $10 |
| 375d | Macron out in 2025? | SellNo90¢ | $19 |
| 380d | French election called by October 10? | BuyYes55¢ | $2 |
| 382d | French election called by December 31? | BuyYes74¢ | $10 |
| 382d | Another France debt downgrade by December 31? | BuyYes78¢ | $10 |
| 382d | Emmanuel & Brigitte Macron divorce in 2025? | SellNo98¢ | $20 |
| 391d | Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? | BuyNo86¢ | $10 |
| 391d | Emmanuel & Brigitte Macron divorce in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $20 |
| 391d | Macron out in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ | $20 |
| 679d | Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 679d | Will 2024 be better than 2023? | BuyYes51¢ | $5 |
| 679d | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyYes27¢ | $10 |
| 679d | Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | BuyYes59¢ | $20 |
| 679d | Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next French Prime Minister? | BuyYes42¢ | $10 |
| 679d | Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister? | BuyNo64¢ | $50 |
| 679d | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty? | BuyYes27¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.