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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balendra “Balen” Shah | 100% | +3 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gagan Kumar Thapa | 0% | +2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| KP Sharma Oli | 0% | −1 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Prachanda | 0% | +6 pts | +5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madhav Kumar Nepal | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rabi Lamichhane | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kulman Ghising | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harka Sampang | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sushila Karki | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211d | Abandoned-Counsel2 fills | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,117 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 211d |  tetrase2 fills | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,852 | +$13 +0.3% | 4 |
| 212d | Mild-Catalyst | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes>99¢ | $2,000 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 213d |  Boss7 | Rabi Lamichhane | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,858 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 218d | Hiworld.2 fills | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,862 | +$43 +1.1% | 4 |
| 218d | sand1 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$23 +1.8% | 4 |
| 220d |  archaic | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$17 −1.6% | — |
| 221d | Extroverted-Coin | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | −$20 −1.4% | — |
| 222d | cos5 | Gagan Kumar Thapa | SellNo>99¢ | $1,978 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 224d | pond85 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$14 +1.2% | 4 |
| 224d | suggestir81 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,665 | +$20 +1.2% | 4 |
| 224d | uglyhy52 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$11 −1.1% | — |
| 224d | silklc22 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 224d | uglyhy52 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$11 +1.1% | 4 |
| 224d | park-until | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$13 +1.1% | 4 |
| 224d | unaware-together | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,959 | +$24 +1.2% | 4 |
| 224d | age-planet | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$11 −1.1% | — |
| 224d | undobe67 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$11 −1.1% | — |
| 224d | undobe67 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$12 +1.2% | 4 |
| 224d | reasonir91 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$14 −1.3% | — |
| 224d | Since9479 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | −$18 −1.2% | — |
| 224d | Since9479 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | +$18 +1.2% | 4 |
| 224d | quotewl65 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$17 +1.2% | 4 |
| 224d | suspect-belt | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$13 +1.2% | 4 |
| 224d | violinqa85 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | +$19 +1.2% | 4 |
| 224d | menusm10 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | −$15 −1.3% | — |
| 224d | surround-short-put | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | −$19 −1.3% | — |
| 224d | Boss-Special-Crime | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$14 −1.3% | — |
| 224d | scalefi80 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$13 −1.3% | — |
| 224d | scalefi80 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$13 +1.3% | 4 |
| 224d | surround-short-put | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$18 +1.3% | 4 |
| 224d | Disagree-Bachelor | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | −$18 −1.3% | — |
| 224d | Disagree-Bachelor | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$17 +1.2% | 4 |
| 224d | executeReplace | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$13 +1.2% | 4 |
| 224d | radio-arrest | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | −$15 −1.3% | — |
| 224d | system04 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | −$20 −1.3% | — |
| 224d | write.tackle.poet | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | −$19 −1.3% | — |
| 224d | system04 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | +$20 +1.3% | 4 |
| 224d | write.tackle.poet | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$19 +1.3% | 4 |
| 224d | good-helmet-news | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | −$14 −1.2% | — |
| 224d | hollowGive | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 224d | gorillaws90 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$14 +1.3% | 4 |
| 224d | good-helmet-news | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$17 +1.3% | 4 |
| 224d | hollowGive | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$14 +1.3% | 4 |
| 224d | issue-region-minimum | KP Sharma Oli | SellNo>99¢ | $1,270 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 224d | zebra3764 | KP Sharma Oli | SellNo>99¢ | $1,709 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 224d | write.tackle.poet | KP Sharma Oli | SellNo>99¢ | $1,389 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 224d | Plugkangaroo | KP Sharma Oli | SellNo>99¢ | $1,214 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 224d | staff79 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | +$19 +1.3% | 4 |
| 224d | Certain4238 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | +$17 +1.3% | 4 |
| 224d | Liveprocess | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$20 +1.3% | 4 |
| 224d | surface097 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$14 +1.3% | 4 |
| 224d | effortKingdom | Balendra “Balen” Shah | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,463 | +$19 +1.3% | 4 |
| 225d | blame63 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | −$14 −1.2% | — |
| 225d | laundry-say | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | −$15 −1.2% | — |
| 225d | very-stool | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | −$18 −1.2% | — |
| 225d | Derivean79 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 225d | Stumbleomit | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | −$17 −1.3% | — |
| 225d | Silkix77 | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | −$22 −1.3% | — |
| 225d | Economyverify | Balendra “Balen” Shah | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | −$20 −1.3% | — |
oldbaby111 shares
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Crypto.Trader3,444 sharesElections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Nepal following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Nepal; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Balendra “Balen” Shah means the market gives it about 100%.