| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 4d | Yes | 430 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $421 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 343 | 72¢ → 94¢ | $322 | +$76 +31% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 310 | 48¢ → 86¢ | $266 | +$118 +80% |
| Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 224 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $223 | +$17 +8.1% |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 198 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $197 | +$5 +2.7% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 575T and 625T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 3d | No | 181 | 81¢ → >99¢ | $181 | +$34 +23% |
| Will OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 3d | No | 117 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $117 | +$14 +14% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 3d | Yes | 114 | 28¢ → >99¢ | $113 | +$81 +252% |
| Will OpenRouter process less than 625T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Ends in 31d | No | 101 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $97 | +$5 +5.1% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Ends in 31d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$7 +7.8% |
| Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 75 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $68 | +$2 +2.6% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 725T and 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Ends in 31d | Yes | 161 | 37¢ → 41¢ | $66 | +$6 +11% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 60 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $52 | +$2 +4.9% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 3d | No | 50 | 74¢ → >99¢ | $49 | +$13 +35% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 70 | 43¢ → 47¢ | $33 | +$3 +8.9% |
| Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Ends in 31d | Yes | 64 | 29¢ → 38¢ | $24 | +$6 +31% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 25 | 97¢ → 93¢ | $23 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 45 | 66¢ → 51¢ | $23 | −$7 −23% |
| Will OpenRouter process 195T or more tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 25 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $22 | +$2 +7.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $21 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 20 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 20 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $18 | $0 0.0% |
| Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $18 | +$2 +10% |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 4d | Yes | 52 | 50¢ → 33¢ | $17 | −$9 −34% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?Ends in 31d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 20 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $16 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 4d | No | 45 | 42¢ → 32¢ | $14 | −$5 −25% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 70d | No | 65 | 31¢ → 19¢ | $12 | −$8 −40% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 151 | 21¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$25 −79% |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 4d | Yes | 25 | 45¢ → 20¢ | $5 | −$6 −57% |
| Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 70d | Yes | 40 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $4 | −$3 −42% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 435d | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 10¢ | $2 | −$2 −44% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$1 −55% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$1 −61% |
| Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 3d | Yes | 195 | 19¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$37 −99% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +50% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 174 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 151 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 84 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 160 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 256 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 350 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 140 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Loktantrik Samajwadi Party Nepal win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 86 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Rastriya Janamorcha win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 191 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 203 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will any other model be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$189 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 220 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 233 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 155T and 165T tokens the week of October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 155T and 160T tokens the week of September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 160T and 165T tokens the week of September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 81 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 529 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$249 −100% |
