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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Niculescu | 100% | +5 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 67d |
| Mugur Isărescu | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Mircea Geoană | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Anca Dragu | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Lucian Isar | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Cătălin Predoiu | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Sorin Grindeanu | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| George Simion | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Ilie Bolojan | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Marcel Ciolacu | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Alexandru Rafila | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Sebastian Burduja | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Ionuț Dumitru | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Elena Lasconi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Cătălin Drulă | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Vasile Dîncu | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Dacian Cioloș | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Emil Boc | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Dominic Fritz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Raluca Turcan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Lucian Croitoru | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Delia Velculescu | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Nicolae Ciucă | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Hunor Kelemen | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Calin Georgescu | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Radu Burnete | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Șerban Matei | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Alexandru Nazare | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Alexandru Rogobete | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Dragoș Pîslaru | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Traian Basescu | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Dan Motreanu | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Victor Ponta | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Ciprian Ciucu | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Eugen Tomac | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Siegfried Mureșan | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Adrian Veștea | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 434d |
| Leonardo Badea | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 67d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Luca Niculescu | SellYes>99¢ | $3,313 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 3d | nicdan | Luca Niculescu | SellYes>99¢ | $1,201 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | Sorin Grindeanu | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,030 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 3d | Siziriv | Siegfried Mureșan | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,415 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | Siziriv | Sorin Grindeanu | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,415 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | Siziriv | Leonardo Badea | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,415 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | meiyitinghuouma | Sorin Grindeanu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,284 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | mianbaoxiaoziuma | Sorin Grindeanu | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,140 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | laolumanjuuma | Sorin Grindeanu | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,140 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | lIllIlllIlIl | Siegfried Mureșan | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,818 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | lIllIlllIlIl | Sorin Grindeanu | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,375 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,086 | +$25 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 3d | Tan-Pacemaker2 fills | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,481 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 3d | Webbed-Kingdom-Green2 fills | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,664 | +$46 +0.3% | 4 |
| 3d | donthackme2 fills | George Simion | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,853 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 3d | donthackme2 fills | Ilie Bolojan | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,854 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | donthackme2 fills | Alexandru Nazare | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,854 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | donthackme2 fills | Sorin Grindeanu | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,854 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | donthackme2 fills | Siegfried Mureșan | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,854 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | donthackme2 fills | Leonardo Badea | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,854 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | Woeful-Wrinkle-Approach | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,980 | +$20 +0.4% | 4 |
| 3d | 0xa98e…daa3 | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | +$15 +0.7% | 4 |
| 4d | yupiiiiiiiii | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,728 | +$96 +1.1% | 4 |
| 4d | mitzaku | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,715 | +$28 +1.6% | 4 |
| 4d | mitzaku | Siegfried Mureșan | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,412 | −$21 −0.6% | — |
| 4d | mitzaku | Alexandru Nazare | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,388 | −$14 −0.6% | — |
| 5d | Calcio78 | Luca Niculescu | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | −$47 −3.8% | — |
| 6d | NatoAlfista2 fills | Luca Niculescu | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $4,517 | −$991 −22% | — |
| 7d | Smart-bettor7 | Alexandru Nazare | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,967 | −$33 −1.7% | — |
| 7d | Licasamadaul | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$807 +18% | 4 |
| 7d | mimi2025uk | Luca Niculescu | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | −$490 −32% | — |
| 7d | Luca Niculescu | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 4 | |
| 7d | Licasamadaul | Luca Niculescu | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,644 | −$582 −13% | — |
| 8d | Danieljuravle01 | Luca Niculescu | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | −$109 −8.6% | — |
| 8d | Lexma | Eugen Tomac | SellNo>99¢ | $1,116 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 8d | Lexma3 fills | Sorin Grindeanu | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,025 | −$887 −18% | — |
| 9d | boloJEAN | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | +$122 +9.6% | 4 |
| 9d | eradus | Luca Niculescu | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,001 | −$483 −9.6% | — |
| 9d | Luca Niculescu | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | −$130 −8.7% | — | |
| 10d | Impolite-Gigantism4 fills | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $7,824 | +$4,454 +57% | 4 |
| 11d | umumumum | Luca Niculescu | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$718 −69% | — |
| 11d | Impolite-Gigantism | Luca Niculescu | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | −$775 −60% | — |
| 12d | Luca Niculescu | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $4,273 | −$4,224 −99% | — | |
| 13d | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$2,085 +74% | 4 | |
| 15d | eradus | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,852 | +$1,055 +57% | 4 |
| 15d | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,824 | +$1,484 +81% | 4 | |
| 16d | Athletic-Manager | Luca Niculescu | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | −$1,404 −100% | — |
| 16d | Sorin Grindeanu | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | −$249 −14% | — | |
| 17d | DecoAlex | Luca Niculescu | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | +$1,057 +70% | 4 |
| 18d | Luca Niculescu | SellYes33¢ → 100¢ | $7,672 | −$15,828 −206% | — | |
| 18d | Alexandru Nazare | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $6,495 | −$1,959 −30% | — | |
| 18d | gesst | Ilie Bolojan | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,418 | −$24 −1.7% | — |
| 19d | Alexandru Nazare | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,610 | −$1,610 −100% | 6 | |
| 19d | Bigggggggg | Leonardo Badea | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$24 +2.0% | 4 |
| 19d | Bigggggggg | Eugen Tomac | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$27 +2.3% | 4 |
| 19d | Bigggggggg | Luca Niculescu | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,094 | −$1,094 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | Bigggggggg | Cătălin Predoiu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$8 +0.6% | 4 |
| 19d | Bigggggggg | George Simion | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,236 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 19d | Bigggggggg | Dan Motreanu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,233 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 22d | Siegfried Mureșan | SellNo100¢ | $3,486 | −$18 −0.5% | — |
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Luca Niculescu means the market gives it about 100%.