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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No next Culture Secretary in 2026 | 100% | +80 pts | +72 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| Louise Haigh | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Lucy Powell | 0% | −27 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Angela Rayner | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Wes Streeting | 0% | −16 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Anneliese Midgley | 0% | −10 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Bridget Phillipson | 0% | −8 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| David Lammy | 0% | −16 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Peter Kyle | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Liz Kendall | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Darren Jones | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Rachel Reeves | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Heidi Alexander | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Emma Reynolds | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Stephanie Peacock | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95d | No next Culture Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,065 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 95d | Heidi Alexander | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,304 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 95d | Peter Kyle | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,269 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 95d | Wes Streeting | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,063 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 95d | Bridget Phillipson | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,520 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 95d | No next Culture Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,371 | +$29 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 95d | No next Culture Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $6,600 | +$974 +15% | 4 | |
| 95d | No next Culture Secretary in 2026 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $2,856 | +$1,524 +53% | 4 | |
| 95d | Lucy Powell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,499 | +$56 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 95d | Lucy Powell | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$39 +3.6% | 4 | |
| 96d | whig2 fills | Lucy Powell | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,773 | +$1,174 +25% | 4 |
| 101d | whig2 fills | No next Culture Secretary in 2026 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $4,802 | −$4,802 −100% | 4 |
| 105d | No next Culture Secretary in 2026 | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $1,993 | −$1,993 −100% | 4 | |
| 106d | whig | Angela Rayner | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | +$213 +14% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport is appointed, or Lisa Nandy is re-appointed as Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Culture Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No next Culture Secretary in 2026 means the market gives it about 100%.