Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 990d |  LBZcapital | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,485 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 990d | professorx | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,773 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 990d | michelleobamalover | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$804 +28% | 10 |
| 990d |  New.Jeans | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | +$442 +28% | 10 |
| 990d | LBZcapital | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,586 | +$568 +22% | 10 |
| 990d | player12 fills | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,298 | −$586 −26% | — |
| 991d | thomasl-266 | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$171 +12% | 13 |
| 991d | Private423 | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,318 | +$280 +12% | 14 |
| 991d | player1 | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$274 +23% | 16 |
| 992d | sk33625 | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$506 +24% | 15 |
| 992d | A.n0n | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$387 +26% | 15 |
| 993d |  50Whence | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,692 | +$450 +27% | 14 |
| 994d |  VibesGreaterRules | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,875 | +$625 +33% | 14 |
| 995d |  tjrick | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$381 +33% | 12 |
| 995d |  ImJustKen | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | +$635 +41% | 12 |
| 995d | PabloB | Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | +$930 +45% | 12 |
Nevada is holding both a Republican Primary and Republican caucus in 2024, and the state party determined only the caucus will decide the delegate allocation. Haley is the only major candidate on the Primary ballot, and Trump is the only major candidate on the Caucus ballot. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley wins over 50% of the votes cast in the Nevada Republican Primary, currently scheduled for February 6th, 2024. "Votes cast" includes votes for any candidate as well as votes for "None of these candidates". If no such primary takes place in Nevada in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Nevada Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.