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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump by 3.0-4.0% | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump by 4.0%+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 2.0-3.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 1.0-2.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 0-1% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-1.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1.0-2.0% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.0-3.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3.0-4.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 4%+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 695d | AMM | Trump by 3.0-4.0% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,151 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 695d |  itsgg2 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $7,008 | +$3,139 +45% | 4 |
| 696d |  beigesun2 fills | Trump by 3.0-4.0% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,837 | +$13 +0.5% | 4 |
| 696d |  Slowroasted | Trump by 3.0-4.0% | BuyYes100¢ | $3,215 | +$16 +0.5% | 4 |
| 705d |  Apsalar4 fills | Harris by 4%+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,753 | +$56 +0.8% | 4 |
| 706d |  Eatplantsnotanimals | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,821 | +$39 +1.0% | 4 |
| 707d | Melody626 | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,939 | −$17 −0.9% | — |
| 707d |  obakobakk2 fills | Trump by 3.0-4.0% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,982 | +$29 +0.7% | 4 |
| 708d | monjkhkh | Trump by 3.0-4.0% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | −$14 −1.2% | — |
| 708d | itsgg | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,411 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 709d | lug2 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $4,346 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 714d | D42d | Trump by 3.0-4.0% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,215 | +$74 +0.8% | 4 |
| 715d | jcal7 | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,217 | −$20 −0.6% | — |
| 716d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Trump by 3.0-4.0% | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,841 | +$275 +3.1% | 4 |
| 717d | Ornate-Teammate | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 717d | 8BlocksCapital | Trump by 2.0-3.0% | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$495 +49% | 4 |
| 717d | 8BlocksCapital | Trump by 0-1% | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,469 | +$207 +8.4% | 4 |
| 717d | Apsalar2 fills | Harris by 0-1.0% | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,490 | +$240 +4.4% | 4 |
| 717d | Apsalar | Harris by 1.0-2.0% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,459 | +$76 +3.1% | 4 |
| 718d | HLB-377 | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,198 | +$1,198 +100% | — |
| 718d | FeathersTogether | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$720 +18% | 8 |
| 718d | Wiz_0066 | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,310 | −$587 −45% | — |
| 720d | 0xfe91…70ff | Trump by 2.0-3.0% | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,926 | +$254 +8.7% | 5 |
| 721d | sonnyf | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,996 | +$1,960 +39% | 6 |
| 722d | HoneyGem618 | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $9,300 | +$3,950 +42% | 6 |
| 725d | kocinakn2 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,590 | +$2,590 +100% | — |
| 727d | botbot2 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $4,313 | −$4,313 −100% | 7 |
| 729d | dgrdgd | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | +$1,260 +100% | — |
| 729d | TDFESA | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$1,260 +56% | 4 |
| 729d | TDFESA | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | +$1,260 +100% | — |
| 729d | dgrdgd | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$1,260 +56% | 4 |
| 729d | vghsdgds | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | +$1,260 +100% | — |
| 729d | 4ttesdf | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$1,260 +56% | 4 |
| 729d | 4ttesdf | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | +$1,260 +100% | — |
| 729d | vghsdgds | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$1,260 +56% | 4 |
| 729d | hdsfesf | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 729d | fgrgerw | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$1,190 +52% | 4 |
| 729d | fgrgerw | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 729d | hdsfesf | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$1,190 +52% | 4 |
| 729d | cvsfesf | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 729d | fhrewtew | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$1,190 +52% | 4 |
| 729d | fhrewtew | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 729d | cvsfesf | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$1,190 +52% | 4 |
| 729d | dfesfs | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 729d | fesfe | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$1,190 +52% | 4 |
| 729d | fesfe | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 729d | dfesfs | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$1,190 +52% | 4 |
| 729d | shduih8ea | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 729d | dfjoheosf | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$1,190 +52% | 4 |
| 729d | dfjoheosf | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 729d | shduih8ea | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$1,190 +52% | 4 |
| 729d | fgrdgs | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | +$1,155 +100% | — |
| 729d | sdbuiea | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | +$1,155 +49% | 4 |
| 729d | sdbuiea | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | +$1,155 +100% | — |
| 729d | fgrdgs | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | +$1,155 +49% | 4 |
| 729d | dfioheiof | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | +$1,155 +100% | — |
| 729d | sfouhiufef | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | +$1,155 +49% | 4 |
| 729d | sfouhiufef | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,155 | +$1,155 +100% | — |
| 729d | dfioheiof | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | +$1,155 +49% | 4 |
| 729d | dgrdrg | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
This is a market on predicting the margin of victory in North Carolina elections.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump by 3.0-4.0% means the market gives it about 100%.