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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | −4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299d |  Snow-White2 fills | North Korea missile launch by December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,580 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 299d | 0xeb9d…e31b | North Korea missile launch by December 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$31 +2.1% | 20 |
| 303d | jasonkoer | North Korea missile launch by December 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 21 |
| 316d | Paglietini2 fills | North Korea missile launch by December 31? | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 20 |
menelik261 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.