| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 4,000 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $3,702 | −$76 −2.0% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 4,206 | 71¢ → 82¢ | $3,428 | +$441 +15% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,916 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $2,435 | +$19 +0.8% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 1,800 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1,772 | +$66 +3.9% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,611 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $1,525 | +$112 +7.9% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,500 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $1,387 | +$168 +14% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 1,038 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $983 | +$53 +5.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,639 | 75¢ → 58¢ | $951 | −$282 −23% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 993 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $929 | +$139 +18% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 850 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $819 | +$32 +4.1% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 882 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $806 | −$2 −0.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 863 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $798 | +$94 +13% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 800 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $797 | +$9 +1.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 800 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $789 | +$55 +7.4% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 1,200 | 76¢ → 63¢ | $756 | −$154 −17% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | Yes | 1,100 | 73¢ → 69¢ | $753 | −$49 −6.1% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 73d | Anthropic | 794 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $738 | +$34 +4.8% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 667 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $633 | +$50 +8.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 917 | 80¢ → 69¢ | $628 | −$109 −15% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 680 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $588 | +$16 +2.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | Yes | 600 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $537 | −$4 −0.7% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 670 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $520 | +$46 +9.7% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 663 | 58¢ → 78¢ | $514 | +$132 +35% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 525 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $494 | +$27 +5.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 536 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $490 | +$79 +19% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 500 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $488 | +$30 +6.4% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 600 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $477 | +$66 +16% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageEnds in 7h | Hanwha Life Esports | 600 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $459 | +$1 +0.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,230 | 74¢ → 35¢ | $429 | −$476 −53% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 500 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $412 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 400 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $390 | +$12 +3.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $382 | +$8 +2.1% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $378 | +$15 +4.1% |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Ends in 69d | No | 410 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $377 | +$5 +1.4% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 400 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $372 | +$4 +1.1% |
| China coup attempt before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 380 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $364 | +$4 +1.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 511 | 68¢ → 71¢ | $360 | +$14 +4.1% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | No | 500 | 72¢ → 68¢ | $341 | −$17 −4.8% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $338 | +$36 +12% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 400 | 68¢ → 85¢ | $338 | +$68 +25% |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 339 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $328 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 52¢ → 55¢ | $327 | +$18 +5.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 400 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $304 | −$20 −6.2% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 313 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $298 | +$20 +7.3% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 302 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $294 | +$7 +2.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $288 | +$6 +2.1% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $282 | +$25 +9.7% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 300 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $277 | +$55 +25% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $266 | +$20 +8.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $258 | +$46 +22% |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 300 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $257 | −$9 −3.6% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 300 | 66¢ → 83¢ | $249 | +$52 +27% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 255 | 72¢ → 91¢ | $232 | +$48 +26% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 218d | No | 250 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $214 | +$17 +8.8% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 97d | No | 220 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $214 | +$10 +4.9% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 215 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $200 | +$32 +19% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 213 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $197 | +$3 +1.7% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$39 +26% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $191 | −$2 −1.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$22 +13% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $186 | +$14 +8.1% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 194 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $185 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$1 +0.5% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 190 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $185 | +$6 +3.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 52¢ → 61¢ | $183 | +$27 +17% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 200 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$1 +0.5% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 190 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $182 | +$8 +4.9% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 70¢ → 91¢ | $182 | +$42 +30% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $176 | +$7 +4.4% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 88¢ | $175 | +$26 +17% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $172 | +$8 +4.7% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $167 | +$4 +2.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 200 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $166 | $0 0.0% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $164 | +$10 +6.5% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 168 | 60¢ → 98¢ | $164 | +$64 +64% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 69¢ → 82¢ | $163 | +$25 +18% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 82¢ | $163 | −$19 −10% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 189 | 66¢ → 82¢ | $154 | +$29 +23% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 177 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $153 | +$43 +40% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $153 | −$15 −8.9% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 617 | 57¢ → 24¢ | $148 | −$203 −58% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 247 | 46¢ → 60¢ | $147 | +$34 +31% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 149 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $143 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 149 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $142 | +$16 +13% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $140 | +$23 +20% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 69d | Yamal | 500 | 40¢ → 28¢ | $138 | −$62 −31% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | Yes | 200 | 82¢ → 65¢ | $129 | −$36 −22% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 200 | 75¢ → 64¢ | $127 | −$24 −16% |
| Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 128 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $126 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 126 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $118 | +$9 +8.4% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 125 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $116 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,000 | 57¢ → 12¢ | $115 | −$456 −80% |
| Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$13 +16% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$5 +5.2% |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 43¢ → 89¢ | $89 | +$46 +107% |
| LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group StageEnds in 7h | T1 | 100 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 300 | 31¢ → 29¢ | $87 | −$7 −7.9% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 94 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $86 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 107 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $85 | −$5 −6.0% |
