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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +89 pts | +84 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 426d |  0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae1623 fills | North Korea missile test by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,506 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 426d | -1i | North Korea missile test by August 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | −$38 −2.8% | — |
| 426d |  kejsldohen2 fills | North Korea missile test by August 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,043 | +$65 +2.1% | 20 |
| 426d |  exit-liqudity | North Korea missile test by August 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,081 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 426d |  BrightTiger | North Korea missile test by August 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 428d | 854A78432 fills | North Korea missile test by August 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $2,360 | −$2,360 −100% | 20 |
| 438d |  ondra123 | North Korea missile test by August 31? | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | −$1,213 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between August 11, 1:00 PM ET, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.