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Polymarket wallet 0x4cdf0e3476007fbf0a16a638616dc512a323c363 · on Polymarket since Jul 28, 2025 · also shown as Affectionate-Privacy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| North Korea missile test by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 437d | Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes58¢ | $40 |
| 437d | North Korea missile test by August 31? | BuyNo80¢ | $10 |
| 437d | 1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31? | BuyNo66¢ | $10 |
| 439d | Will another MrBeast video get 55m+ day 1 views by September 30? | SellYes43¢ | $7 |
| 439d | Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | SellYes90¢ | $52 |
| 440d | Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | BuyYes88¢ | $51 |
| 440d | Will another MrBeast video get 55m+ day 1 views by September 30? | BuyYes59¢ | $10 |
| 440d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? | SellNo91¢ | $61 |
| 449d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo77¢ | $52 |
| 449d | Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31? | SellNo98¢ | $36 |
| 452d | Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31? | BuyNo80¢ | $29 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.