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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gintautas Kindurys | 50% | — | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | $91 | in 15d |
| Vladislav Kondratovič | 17% | −9 pts | — | 11¢ · 23¢ (12¢) | — | in 15d |
| Antanas Šakalis | 11% | +2 pts | +6 pts | 1¢ · 22¢ (21¢) | — | in 15d |
| Dalia Štraupaitė | 9% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 13¢ (9¢) | — | in 15d |
| Nikolajus Lebedevičius | 6% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | $20 | in 15d |
| Ignotas Adomavičius | 6% | −11 pts | −11 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | $738 | in 15d |
| Giedrius Dainys | 5% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 15d |
| Mėta Palauskaitė | 4% | — | −2 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 15d |
| Maksimas Paukštė | 4% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 8¢ (8¢) | — | in 15d |
| Viktor Voronin | 3% | — | — | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 15d |
| Andrej Šildiajėv | 2% | −1 pts | +1 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 15d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Gintautas Kindurys means the market gives it about 50%.