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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | +5 pts | +26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | Trustinghorse | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BuySomething>99¢ | $4,645 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 237d | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BuySomething>99¢ | $4,245 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 253d | LudoGar | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BuyNothing59¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - United States wins most Medals at 2026 Winter Olympics - Starmer out - Insurrection Act invoked - March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - US-Iran nuclear deal - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Bitcoin hits ↓ 40,000 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_February.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.