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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | +16 pts | +14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | Canine-Darkness | Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,239 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 238d | BIackLivesMatter | Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,303 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 238d | Smoggy-Release | Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,185 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 238d | Crock95 | Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,311 | +$47 +2.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Israel strikes Iran - Israel withdraws from Gaza - Syria strikes Israel - Israel and Lebanon normalize relations - Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled - Israel x Turkey military clash Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Israel+Edition.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.