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Polymarket wallet 0xd8459c679f26c3a7da91658210e79584db7148d5 · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026 · also shown as Natural-Fascia
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 599 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 606 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 117 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,958 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$387 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,378 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BuyYes20¢ | $387 |
| 236d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SellYes39¢ | $194 |
| 236d | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SellYes41¢ | $194 |
| 236d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyYes55¢ | $274 |
| 236d | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | SellYes26¢ | $270 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BuyUp21¢ | $400 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BuyUp32¢ | $500 |
| 237d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BuyUp7¢ | $100 |
| 237d | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BuyYes19¢ | $200 |
| 237d | Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition | BuyYes33¢ | $200 |
| 237d | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BuyYes43¢ | $200 |
| 237d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo33¢ | $200 |
| 237d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ | $98 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.