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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d | aviato | Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,055 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,060 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 316d | Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$37 +3.1% | 20 | |
| 336d | Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$61 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 347d | simpleman | Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | −$167 −15% | — |
This market will resolve to "No" if any of the listed people receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The listed individuals are: - Diddy - Ghislaine Maxwell - Sam Bankman-Fried - Elizabeth Holmes - Derek Chauvin Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.