| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 883 | 71¢ → 95¢ | $839 | +$216 +35% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | No | 1,000 | 65¢ → 59¢ | $590 | −$62 −9.5% |
| Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 8,234 | 23¢ → 7¢ | $535 | −$1,333 −71% |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 403 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $390 | +$66 +21% |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 398 | 54¢ → 98¢ | $389 | +$173 +80% |
| Rippling IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 418 | 61¢ → 93¢ | $388 | +$133 +52% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 1,100 | 55¢ → 33¢ | $358 | −$243 −41% |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 387 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $337 | +$88 +35% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | Yes | 922 | 32¢ → 36¢ | $332 | +$34 +11% |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 337 | 65¢ → 98¢ | $331 | +$111 +50% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | No | 326 | 72¢ → 85¢ | $276 | +$40 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 45¢ → 56¢ | $224 | +$44 +25% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 260 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $222 | +$19 +9.4% |
| Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Ends in 11d | No | 241 | 45¢ → 84¢ | $202 | +$93 +86% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 246 | 38¢ → 82¢ | $202 | +$107 +114% |
| Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Ends in 36d | Yes | 466 | 27¢ → 43¢ | $198 | +$74 +59% |
| Glean IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 191 | 78¢ → 99¢ | $189 | +$40 +27% |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 203 | 11¢ → 93¢ | $189 | +$167 +777% |
| Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?Ends in 69d | No | 336 | 48¢ → 51¢ | $170 | +$8 +5.3% |
| Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 220 | 54¢ → 74¢ | $162 | +$43 +36% |
| Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 250 | 41¢ → 63¢ | $156 | +$54 +53% |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 385 | 17¢ → 39¢ | $148 | +$83 +126% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $146 | +$4 +2.8% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 90d | Yes | 200 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $144 | +$12 +9.0% |
| Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 68d | No | 258 | 55¢ → 55¢ | $142 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 158 | 56¢ → 87¢ | $137 | +$50 +57% |
| Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 140 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $136 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 23d | Yes | 183 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $130 | +$11 +9.2% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ends in 68d | Yes | 902 | 80¢ → 14¢ | $129 | −$593 −82% |
| Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 147 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $129 | +$15 +13% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 148 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $122 | +$5 +4.4% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,350 | 2¢ → 9¢ | $119 | +$91 +321% |
| Will Parker Washington have 749.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | Yes | 156 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $116 | +$9 +8.0% |
| Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 140 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $112 | +$13 +13% |
| Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 134 | 67¢ → 83¢ | $111 | +$21 +23% |
| Celonis IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 119 | 52¢ → 93¢ | $110 | +$48 +77% |
| Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?Ends in 11d | No | 118 | 57¢ → 90¢ | $106 | +$38 +56% |
| Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 251 | 50¢ → 42¢ | $104 | −$21 −17% |
| Will Utah have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | Yes | 130 | 56¢ → 75¢ | $97 | +$24 +32% |
| Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 127 | 57¢ → 76¢ | $97 | +$25 +34% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 47d | Yes | 200 | 32¢ → 48¢ | $97 | +$33 +51% |
| Will Jacob Misiorowski lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?Ends in 23d | No | 100 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $95 | +$16 +21% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $92 | +$3 +2.9% |
| Will Florida State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 49d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $89 | +$8 +9.3% |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 58,382 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $88 | +$30 +51% |
| Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 419 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $86 | −$8 −8.5% |
| Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 94 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $86 | +$8 +11% |
| Will SMU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | Yes | 100 | 63¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$22 +35% |
| Will Los Angeles Chargers advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Ends in 87d | No | 85 | 49¢ → 96¢ | $82 | +$40 +96% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 124 | 80¢ → 66¢ | $81 | −$18 −18% |
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 68d | Yes | 119 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $80 | +$2 +2.3% |
| Vanta IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 80 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $78 | +$13 +20% |
| Will Boise State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | Yes | 105 | 54¢ → 70¢ | $74 | +$17 +30% |
| Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 258 | 43¢ → 28¢ | $73 | −$38 −34% |
| Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 85 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $73 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Will BYU have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | Yes | 86 | 42¢ → 82¢ | $71 | +$34 +96% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 219 | 24¢ → 32¢ | $70 | +$17 +32% |
| Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 87 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $69 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 94 | 59¢ → 70¢ | $65 | +$10 +18% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 38¢ → 33¢ | $65 | −$10 −14% |
| Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Ends in 36d | Yes | 120 | 29¢ → 54¢ | $64 | +$29 +82% |
| Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 11d | No | 166 | 27¢ → 38¢ | $63 | +$18 +41% |
| Will Oklahoma State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | Yes | 100 | 45¢ → 63¢ | $63 | +$17 +38% |
| Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 118 | 44¢ → 53¢ | $62 | +$11 +22% |
| Will Iowa have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 49d | Yes | 72 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $62 | +$13 +27% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 628 | 39¢ → 10¢ | $60 | −$187 −76% |
| Will there be 2+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?Ends in 23d | No | 93 | 13¢ → 64¢ | $60 | +$48 +409% |
| Will South Carolina have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 49d | No | 70 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $59 | +$10 +21% |
| Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 11d | No | 193 | 49¢ → 30¢ | $58 | −$38 −39% |
| Will Kansas State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | No | 60 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $57 | +$3 +4.8% |
| Will Mississippi State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 49d | Yes | 136 | 48¢ → 42¢ | $57 | −$9 −13% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 70 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $57 | +$3 +5.8% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | Yes | 69 | 32¢ → 82¢ | $56 | +$34 +155% |
| Will William Contreras win the 2026 World Series MVP?Ends in 23d | No | 65 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $56 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Ends in 68d | Yes | 54,393 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $54 | −$3 −6.0% |
| Will Jayden Daniels have 2,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 86 | 61¢ → 63¢ | $54 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | No | 64 | 60¢ → 84¢ | $54 | +$16 +41% |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Ends in 11d | No | 66 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $53 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 60 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $51 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 17¢ → 25¢ | $50 | +$16 +48% |
| Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 33d | No | 96 | 49¢ → 52¢ | $49 | +$2 +5.1% |
| Will Wake Forest have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | Yes | 49 | 58¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$18 +66% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 28¢ → 77¢ | $46 | +$29 +179% |
| Will Brice Turang win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 71 | 18¢ → 56¢ | $40 | +$27 +209% |
| Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 43 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $39 | +$3 +8.2% |
| Will Sheldon Creed win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$8 +26% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 73 | 57¢ → 54¢ | $39 | −$3 −6.3% |
| Will Jalen Hurts have 2,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 40 | 63¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$14 +54% |
| Will Oklahoma have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | Yes | 95 | 62¢ → 41¢ | $38 | −$20 −35% |
| Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Ends in 73d | No | 39 | 73¢ → 98¢ | $38 | +$10 +34% |
| Will Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | Yes | 64 | 36¢ → 60¢ | $38 | +$15 +63% |
| Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 37 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $36 | +$6 +19% |
| Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 35 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $34 | +$8 +30% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 45 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $34 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $34 | +$4 +12% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 60 | 59¢ → 51¢ | $30 | −$5 −14% |
| Will Florida State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 49d | No | 44 | 59¢ → 68¢ | $29 | +$4 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 33 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $29 | +$4 +14% |
| Stripe IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$4 +16% |
| Will Oklahoma State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | Yes | 81 | 30¢ → 36¢ | $29 | +$5 +21% |
