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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301d |  VegemiteLover | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,790 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 |
| 302d | QMG-CORE | Obama divorce in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,097 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 302d | okcoolstorybro | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,191 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 304d | Eatpraylove | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,417 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 306d | OkaneKasegu2 fills | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,111 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 309d |  chungguskhan3 fills | Obama divorce in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,433 | −$150 −0.8% | — |
| 316d |  elmcap2 | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,278 | +$20 +0.6% | 4 |
| 317d | chungguskhan | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $40,463 | +$450 +1.1% | 4 |
| 317d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,890 | +$110 +1.1% | 4 |
| 338d | h0385960273553 fills | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $7,277 | +$1,312 +18% | 4 |
| 352d | Mrfuture | Obama divorce in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | −$36 −2.2% | — |
| 352d | Mrfuture | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$35 +2.1% | 4 |
| 355d | leodotfi | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$32 +2.1% | 4 |
| 438d | Retired-Davis | Obama divorce in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,665 | −$153 −2.7% | — |
| 453d | Starry-Flanker | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,944 | +$248 +4.2% | 4 |
| 458d | Smallpeepee | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$54 +5.3% | 4 |
| 461d | meropi | Obama divorce in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,001 | −$105 −5.3% | — |
| 461d | Retired-Davis | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,914 | +$560 +5.7% | 4 |
| 499d | Niseko | Obama divorce in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,285 | −$199 −8.7% | — |
| 535d | Niseko | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | +$225 +9.9% | 4 |
| 544d | 0x57891A46 fills | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $45,014 | +$8,695 +19% | 4 |
| 567d |  Erasmus.3 fills | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $11,546 | +$1,337 +12% | 4 |
| 587d | BowlOfPunch | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $6,548 | +$1,088 +17% | 4 |
| 589d | NMwins | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 7 |
| 628d | CryptoJeremy | Obama divorce in 2025? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | −$294 −15% | — |
| 638d | -JB- | Obama divorce in 2025? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,661 | −$340 −20% | — |
| 638d | SolarFlar3 | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,970 | −$1,970 −100% | 8 |
| 639d | Willie555 | Obama divorce in 2025? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | +$340 +20% | 4 |
pushkarunners1793,181 shares
Dr7Gonzo3,000 shares
ElDandy9910 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama announce their intention to divorce between January 16 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Barack Obama and/or Michelle Obama, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.