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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 0 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718d | therealbatman | 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,586 | +$27 +0.1% | 10 |
| 718d | therealbatman | 2+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,256 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 |
| 719d | 2+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 719d | 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 721d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a2 fills | 1 | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,033 | +$151 +0.5% | 10 |
| 727d | 1 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,017 | +$333 +3.7% | 10 | |
| 737d | 1 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,809 | −$172 −1.9% | — | |
| 737d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | 1 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,608 | −$150 −2.3% | — |
| 742d | 1 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,298 | +$165 +2.3% | 10 | |
| 751d | 1 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,481 | −$65 −2.6% | — | |
| 751d | 1 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,756 | +$113 +2.4% | 10 | |
| 751d | 0xfe91…70ff4 fills | 1 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,517 | +$435 +5.8% | 10 |
| 752d | 0 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 752d | 0 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,642 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 752d | 0 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,523 | +$14 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 752d | BennyS | 0 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,664 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 752d | 0 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$14 +1.2% | 10 | |
| 752d | 0 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,055 | +$29 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 753d | 0 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,650 | −$305 −3.5% | — | |
| 753d | 0 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,732 | −$14 −0.3% | — | |
| 753d | 0 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | −$22 −1.1% | — | |
| 753d | 0 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,946 | +$311 +1.1% | 10 | |
| 753d | 0 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,662 | +$57 +1.2% | 10 | |
| 754d | Qtyu | 1 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,109 | +$91 +2.2% | 10 |
| 754d | mvp99 | 1 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$80 +2.7% | 10 |
| 754d | 0 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,171 | +$29 +1.3% | 10 | |
| 755d | 0 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,636 | +$345 +2.7% | 10 | |
| 758d | Enchanting-Iceberg | 0 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,819 | +$33 +1.8% | 10 |
| 758d | Isaak👴 | 0 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | +$25 +1.9% | 10 |
| 759d | 0 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,131 | +$242 +2.0% | 10 | |
| 761d | squirrel-farmer | 0 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,864 | +$118 +3.1% | 10 |
| 761d | 2+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,703 | +$173 +1.3% | 10 | |
| 761d | 2+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,499 | +$56 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 765d | 2+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,862 | −$38 −2.0% | — | |
| 769d | 1 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$90 +6.4% | 10 | |
| 771d | 0xfe91…70ff | 0 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | +$106 +4.8% | 10 |
| 773d | 0 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,345 | +$226 +6.8% | 10 | |
| 780d | PeterNh | 1 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +9.9% | 10 |
| 785d | 1 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$152 +11% | 10 | |
| 785d | 0 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,383 | +$117 +8.5% | 10 |
This is a negrisk market group on the number of debates that take place between J.D. Vance and Tim Walz before November 5, 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1 means the market gives it about 100%.