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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 49 or fewer | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 51 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 52 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 54 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 55 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701d | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,510 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 701d | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 701d | longtern | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,605 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 701d | rpo | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,333 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 701d | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,084 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 701d | tf2 | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $43,966 | +$44 +0.1% | 10 |
| 701d | tf2 | 53 | BuyYes>99¢ | $122,712 | +$123 +0.1% | 10 |
| 701d | bobbers2 fills | 53 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,668 | −$166 −1.6% | — |
| 701d | 52 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,014 | +$41 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 701d | 52 | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,354 | +$115 +0.5% | 10 | |
| 701d | cigarettes6 fills | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,728 | +$27 +0.2% | 10 |
| 701d | cigarettes5 fills | 52 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,702 | +$67 +0.7% | 10 |
| 701d | 53 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $52,804 | +$6,256 +12% | 10 | |
| 701d | 53 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,234 | +$64 +0.6% | 10 | |
| 703d | tsekinming014 fills | 53 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $51,199 | +$523 +1.0% | 10 |
| 703d | thriftshop | 54 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,019 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 703d | 53 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | −$18 −1.0% | — | |
| 704d | 53 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $27,774 | +$368 +1.3% | 10 | |
| 705d | 53 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,265 | −$179 −1.9% | — | |
| 705d | 53 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $22,417 | −$365 −1.6% | — | |
| 705d | FLash7-1342 fills | 49 or fewer | SellNo>99¢ | $3,709 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 706d | 53 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,090 | +$68 +1.1% | 10 | |
| 706d | Cat54 | 53 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$12 +1.1% | 10 |
| 706d | 54 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,979 | −$21 −0.4% | — | |
| 706d | Touhou | 53 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 706d | 53 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,542 | −$174 −6.8% | — | |
| 707d | nola72324 | 56+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 707d | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 708d | bobbers2 fills | 53 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,045 | +$61 +1.0% | 10 |
| 708d | nola72324 | 53 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,745 | −$255 −2.6% | — |
| 708d | 53 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,707 | +$53 +1.1% | 10 | |
| 708d | 53 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | +$24 +1.2% | 10 | |
| 708d | 53 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $32,778 | +$544 +1.7% | 10 | |
| 709d | 54 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,023 | −$18 −0.6% | — | |
| 709d | 54 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,966 | −$42 −0.7% | — | |
| 709d | captainrabbit | 53 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,139 | −$221 −3.1% | — |
| 709d | 53 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,878 | −$273 −2.8% | — | |
| 709d | 52 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,933 | −$80 −2.0% | — | |
| 709d | kingfisher3 fills | 52 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $17,140 | −$2,086 −12% | — |
| 709d | 52 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,953 | +$60 +1.5% | 10 | |
| 710d | fffrrr | 54 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,048 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 710d | fffrrr | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,050 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 710d | koolhgg | 54 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,048 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 710d | koolhgg | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,050 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 710d | shangjid | 54 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,048 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 710d | shangjid | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,050 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 710d | hailangde | 54 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,048 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 710d | hailangde | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,050 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 710d | tianfudr | 54 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,048 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 710d | tianfudr | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,050 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 710d | npcfrtyhu | 54 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,048 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 710d | npcfrtyhu | 54 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,050 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 710d | gandalf | 53 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,005 | −$97 −1.9% | — |
| 710d | 0xfe91…70ff4 fills | 53 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $7,508 | −$620 −8.3% | — |
| 710d | captainrabbit2 fills | 53 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,105 | +$141 +3.4% | 10 |
| 710d | 53 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,232 | −$29 −1.3% | — | |
| 711d | 53 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,305 | +$23 +0.7% | 10 | |
| 711d | Trump2032-365 | 53 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$10 +0.8% | 10 |
| 711d | Violet | 53 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$7 +0.7% | 10 |
| 711d | 53 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,208 | +$52 +1.6% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting the number of Republican Senate seats following the upcoming election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 53 means the market gives it about 100%.