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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24-26 | 100% | +4 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <18 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 18-20 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 21-23 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 27-29 | 0% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30+ | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180d | ilyck | 24-26 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$60 −5.9% | — |
| 205d | I-love-pizzas | 24-26 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 218d |  Chayzon | 18-20 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,229 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 24-26 means the market gives it about 100%.
