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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +76 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 361d | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,275 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 361d | Yeahssd2 fills | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,965 | +$181 +0.9% | 4 |
| 361d | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,590 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 361d | shameonu-pol-ymarket | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$19 +1.0% | 4 |
| 361d | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | −$61 −5.1% | — | |
| 361d | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $6,468 | +$1,035 +16% | 4 | |
| 361d | 8396239287 | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,009 | +$752 +25% | 4 |
| 361d | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,927 | +$527 +27% | 4 | |
| 361d | commeowder | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$883 +84% | 4 |
| 408d | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,508 | −$1,508 −100% | 4 | |
| 476d | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$1,159 −98% | — | |
| 536d | OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,807 | −$773 −43% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur. The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.