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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessie Buckley | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Renate Reinsve | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cynthia Erivo | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rose Byrne | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emma Stone | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Julia Roberts | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jennifer Lawrence | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tessa Thompson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sydney Sweeney | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emily Blunt | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kate Hudson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June Squibb | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cate Blanchett | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eva Victor | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Laura Dern | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Movie Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221d |  OTTONILA | Jessie Buckley | SellYes>99¢ | $2,597 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | wapol | Emma Stone | SellNo>99¢ | $1,189 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | Mohammad463 | Jessie Buckley | SellYes>99¢ | $3,376 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | therealgreenastro | Kate Hudson | SellNo>99¢ | $1,028 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | therealgreenastro | Rose Byrne | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | therealgreenastro | Jessie Buckley | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | therealgreenastro | Emma Stone | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 221d | NeoWick | Emma Stone | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,400 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 221d |  thegreengem | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,568 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 221d | therealgreenastro | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 221d | therealgreenastro | Emma Stone | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 221d | meropi | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,479 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 221d | vitorfliii | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 221d | influenz.eth6 fills | Renate Reinsve | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,402 | +$29 +0.4% | 20 |
| 221d | BreadGet | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | +$28 +1.8% | 20 |
| 221d | influenz.eth8 fills | Emma Stone | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,412 | +$43 +0.5% | 20 |
| 221d | influenz.eth3 fills | Rose Byrne | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,616 | +$67 +1.8% | 20 |
| 221d |  missadventure | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$29 +1.4% | 20 |
| 221d | Untried-Breath | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,027 | +$89 +1.8% | 20 |
| 221d | influenz.eth7 fills | Kate Hudson | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,604 | +$19 +0.2% | 20 |
| 221d | Dead-Skylightt | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$28 +2.6% | 20 |
| 221d | Mohammad463 | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$79 +2.4% | 20 |
| 221d | AnonymousGambler2 fills | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,599 | +$60 +2.3% | 20 |
| 222d | bla23 | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$36 +3.1% | 20 |
| 222d | kenny91 | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$32 +3.2% | 21 |
| 223d | Nobetfocus | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,628 | +$123 +3.4% | 21 |
| 224d | 764654c65XC65C748Cv7 | Emma Stone | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 224d | YTGF7RTF7f8 | Emma Stone | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 224d | TF76DF7df76df76D7DF76 | Emma Stone | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 224d | 764654c65XC65C748Cv7 | Emma Stone | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 224d | YTGF7RTF7f8 | Emma Stone | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 224d | TF76DF7df76df76D7DF76 | Emma Stone | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 224d | ytfUYRF786T78 | Emma Stone | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,531 | +$12 +0.8% | 20 |
| 224d | tfYF7F786FR786f | Emma Stone | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | +$12 +0.8% | 20 |
| 224d | uYFGUytf86t86F87 | Emma Stone | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | +$12 +0.8% | 20 |
| 224d | Leading-WetlandNew account | Rose Byrne | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$22 +2.0% | 21 |
| 224d | Muffled-BuckNew account | Rose Byrne | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$21 +2.0% | 21 |
| 224d | Bite-Sized-PoundingNew account | Rose Byrne | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$22 +2.0% | 21 |
| 224d | Vigilant-AllowanceNew account | Rose Byrne | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$24 +2.1% | 21 |
| 224d |  studmuffin6969 | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | +$38 +2.6% | 20 |
| 225d |  junipero | Jessie Buckley | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,257 | −$46 −3.6% | — |
| 226d | aviato | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,055 | +$59 +2.9% | 20 |
| 226d |  PastorTupirani3 fills | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $12,614 | +$420 +3.3% | 20 |
| 229d | FreezusFhrist | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$57 +4.1% | 20 |
| 229d | RangerDanger | Jessie Buckley | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,057 | −$150 −4.9% | — |
| 233d | chudlasjakson | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,088 | +$101 +3.3% | 20 |
| 234d | Randomfool | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,710 | +$100 +3.7% | 20 |
| 235d | RangerDanger | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,080 | +$126 +4.1% | 20 |
| 235d | rated | Emma Stone | BuyNo100¢ | $1,051 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 235d | rated | Kate Hudson | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$7 +0.7% | 20 |
| 235d | rated | Renate Reinsve | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$8 +0.8% | 20 |
| 235d | wealthybanker | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$322 +4.6% | 20 |
| 241d | trampec | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$135 +7.5% | 20 |
| 247d | hipppi | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,347 | +$289 +8.6% | 20 |
| 253d | SplendidAmadeus | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$107 +9.9% | 20 |
| 256d | claudecoder34 | Kate Hudson | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,489 | +$44 +1.8% | 20 |
| 263d | zlfi | Jessie Buckley | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,319 | +$337 +10% | 20 |
| 264d | elPolloLoco3 fills | Kate Hudson | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,302 | −$278 −2.5% | — |
| 271d |  flow-trader-at-optiver2 fills | Rose Byrne | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,917 | +$322 +11% | 20 |
| 271d | flow-trader-at-optiver2 fills | Renate Reinsve | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,183 | +$56 +1.7% | 20 |
Accc730 shares
borja137,122 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jessie Buckley means the market gives it about 100%.