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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Affleck | 5% | — | −1 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 142d |
| Christopher Miller | 10% | — | −3 pts | 9¢ · 11¢ (2¢) | — | in 142d |
| Steven Spielberg | 4% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 142d |
| Na Hong-jin | 6% | — | +2 pts | 4¢ · 8¢ (4¢) | — | in 142d |
| Danny Boyle | 6% | — | −1 pts | 4¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | — | in 142d |
| Olivia Wilde | 50% | +1 pts | −3 pts | 47¢ · 52¢ (5¢) | $677 | in 142d |
| Javier Calvo | 88% | — | +3 pts | 85¢ · 90¢ (5¢) | — | in 142d |
| Jesse Eisenberg | 24% | −9 pts | −5 pts | 22¢ · 26¢ (4¢) | — | in 142d |
| Janus Metz Pedersen | 5% | — | −2 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 142d |
| Javier Ambrossi | 81% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 76¢ · 85¢ (9¢) | — | in 142d |
| Tony Gilroy | 5% | −3 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | — | in 142d |
| Joel Coen | 5% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 142d |
| James Ashcroft | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 142d |
| Paweł Pawlikowski | 10% | — | −7 pts | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | — | in 142d |
| Aaron Sorkin | 4% | — | −1 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 142d |
| Christopher Nolan | 97% | +7 pts | +1 pts | 95¢ · 99¢ (4¢) | $223 | in 142d |
| Denis Villeneuve | 49% | −2 pts | −25 pts | 46¢ · 52¢ (6¢) | $186 | in 142d |
| Nathan Fielder | 67% | +12 pts | +42 pts | 63¢ · 70¢ (7¢) | $181 | in 142d |
| Martin McDonagh | 77% | +9 pts | −2 pts | 74¢ · 80¢ (6¢) | $179 | in 142d |
| Andrew Haigh | 6% | — | −2 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | — | in 142d |
| Cristian Mungiu | 20% | −1 pts | −5 pts | 17¢ · 22¢ (5¢) | $132 | in 142d |
| Curry Barker | 11% | +1 pts | −4 pts | 10¢ · 11¢ (2¢) | — | in 142d |
| Peter Farrelly | 5% | −6 pts | −19 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | $102 | in 142d |
| Mike Leigh | 6% | +3 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 11¢ (10¢) | $51 | in 142d |
| Ryusuke Hamaguchi | 27% | — | — | 25¢ · 28¢ (3¢) | $41 | in 142d |
| Alejandro González Iñárritu | 10% | — | −14 pts | 6¢ · 13¢ (7¢) | $35 | in 142d |
| David Fincher | 13% | +4 pts | −3 pts | 10¢ · 16¢ (6¢) | $21 | in 142d |
| Beth de Araujo | 6% | −1 pts | — | 4¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | $21 | in 142d |
| Phil Lord | 9% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 6¢ · 11¢ (5¢) | $15 | in 142d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for Ben Affleck means the market gives it about 5%.