| Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10,005 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $9,085 | −$360 −3.8% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10,559 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $6,230 | −$106 −1.7% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 209d | Yes | 5,147 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $4,349 | −$129 −2.9% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 286d | No | 4,316 | 65¢ → 72¢ | $3,086 | +$259 +9.2% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 805d | No | 3,600 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $2,646 | −$90 −3.3% |
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 209d | Yes | 7,696 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $2,155 | −$538 −20% |
| Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 255d | No | 2,252 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $2,030 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 6d | No | 2,478 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $1,945 | −$13 −0.6% |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,000 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,916 | +$30 +1.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 101d | No | 2,791 | 67¢ → 66¢ | $1,828 | −$42 −2.2% |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 1,597 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $1,302 | +$8 +0.6% |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Ends in 164d | No | 6,020 | 28¢ → 22¢ | $1,297 | −$398 −23% |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,319 | 87¢ → 77¢ | $1,016 | −$127 −11% |
| Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 1,244 | 89¢ → 73¢ | $908 | −$198 −18% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 2,077 | 56¢ → 44¢ | $903 | −$263 −23% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 2,488 | 47¢ → 34¢ | $833 | −$348 −29% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 164d | No | 1,005 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $829 | −$25 −2.9% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 439d | No | 911 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $751 | +$50 +7.1% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 90d | Yes | 1,003 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $722 | +$60 +9.1% |
| Will Japan win Group F at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 110d | Yes | 984 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $708 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 439d | Yes | 1,239 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $694 | −$25 −3.5% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 74d | No | 736 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $688 | +$77 +13% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 1,363 | 53¢ → 50¢ | $675 | −$48 −6.6% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 74d | No | 815 | 89¢ → 82¢ | $668 | −$57 −7.8% |
| Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 772 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $640 | −$8 −1.2% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 659 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $635 | +$35 +5.9% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 51d | No | 2,005 | 36¢ → 32¢ | $632 | −$90 −13% |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 74d | No | 671 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $608 | −$13 −2.1% |
| Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?Ends in 195d | No | 732 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $597 | +$26 +4.5% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 1,250 | 49¢ → 48¢ | $594 | −$16 −2.6% |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 255d | No | 2,232 | 76¢ → 26¢ | $580 | −$1,116 −66% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 101d | Yes | 894 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $559 | −$22 −3.8% |
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 90d | No | 653 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $509 | +$8 +1.6% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 805d | No | 786 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $507 | −$20 −3.8% |
| Will Fjord win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 255d | No | 505 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $490 | +$40 +8.9% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1170d | No | 660 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $472 | −$17 −3.4% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 1,244 | 46¢ → 35¢ | $429 | −$143 −25% |
| Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | No | 454 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $426 | −$10 −2.2% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 1,249 | 42¢ → 34¢ | $418 | −$105 −20% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 133d | Yes | 938 | 38¢ → 41¢ | $386 | +$25 +6.8% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 100d | No | 461 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $378 | −$23 −5.8% |
| Will South Korea win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 110d | No | 1,239 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $378 | −$31 −7.6% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 530d | Yes | 449 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $366 | +$33 +10% |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 369 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $357 | +$16 +4.6% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,319 | 27¢ → 15¢ | $356 | −$269 −43% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 862 | 73¢ → 41¢ | $354 | −$274 −44% |
| Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?Ends in 266d | No | 449 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $348 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?Ends in 41d | No | 387 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $345 | −$7 −2.0% |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 41d | Yes | 505 | 38¢ → 66¢ | $333 | +$141 +74% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Ends in 439d | Yes | 782 | 13¢ → 42¢ | $332 | +$234 +239% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 692 | 25¢ → 47¢ | $325 | +$152 +88% |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?Ends in 132d | Yes | 500 | 55¢ → 65¢ | $322 | +$47 +17% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | No | 625 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $303 | −$8 −2.5% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 313 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $300 | +$20 +7.1% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 164d | Yes | 3,000 | 1¢ → 10¢ | $300 | +$272 +982% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Ends in 83d | No | 461 | 71¢ → 64¢ | $293 | −$35 −11% |
| Will Sense and Sensibility win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | No | 289 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $288 | +$62 +28% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Ends in 88d | Yes | 908 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $279 | +$15 +5.8% |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 439d | No | 476 | 22¢ → 59¢ | $279 | +$176 +171% |
| Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | No | 343 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $278 | +$27 +11% |
| Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 255d | No | 305 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $271 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 350 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $261 | −$2 −0.7% |
| Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 439d | No | 420 | 23¢ → 62¢ | $261 | +$166 +175% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | Yes | 387 | 69¢ → 66¢ | $253 | −$14 −5.1% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?Ends in 461d | Yes | 908 | 12¢ → 28¢ | $250 | +$141 +129% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 9d | Yes | 874 | 48¢ → 28¢ | $249 | −$174 −41% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 74d | Kane | 358 | 47¢ → 68¢ | $242 | +$73 +44% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 24¢ | $235 | +$226 +2444% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 100d | Yes | 444 | 45¢ → 53¢ | $233 | +$33 +17% |
| Will Steven Spielberg be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 239 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $232 | +$11 +5.1% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 237 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $230 | +$49 +27% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 255d | No | 505 | 58¢ → 46¢ | $230 | −$63 −22% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 333 | 60¢ → 67¢ | $222 | +$22 +11% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 1,000 | 35¢ → 22¢ | $220 | −$130 −37% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 51d | Yes | 1,142 | 11¢ → 19¢ | $217 | +$90 +71% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 221 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $213 | +$15 +7.5% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,254 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $212 | −$49 −19% |
| Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 74d | No | 227 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $211 | −$2 −1.1% |
| Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 249 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $208 | +$9 +4.3% |
| Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?Ends in 41d | No | 228 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $203 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 219 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $201 | +$12 +6.2% |
| Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 78d | Stripe | 505 | 73¢ → 39¢ | $197 | −$172 −47% |
| Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $197 | +$14 +7.7% |
| Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 509 | 56¢ → 39¢ | $196 | −$91 −32% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 223d | No | 496 | 42¢ → 39¢ | $191 | −$17 −8.3% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 304 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $190 | −$11 −5.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 315 | 71¢ → 60¢ | $187 | −$36 −16% |
| Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 244 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $185 | −$5 −2.5% |
| Will Emma Myers be the live-action Gwen Stacy?Ends in 438d | No | 252 | 86¢ → 74¢ | $185 | −$32 −15% |
| Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | No | 195 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $183 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Will Oklahoma State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends ended | O 6.5 | 205 | 43¢ → 88¢ | $180 | +$92 +105% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 74d | Yamal | 410 | 47¢ → 44¢ | $178 | −$14 −7.5% |
| Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 199 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $169 | −$4 −2.3% |
| Will Guadalajara (Chivas) finish 2nd in the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Ends in 70d | No | 205 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $169 | −$7 −4.1% |
| Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 200 | 89¢ → 83¢ | $166 | −$12 −6.7% |
| Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 305 | 56¢ → 53¢ | $162 | −$9 −5.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 16d | Yes | 579 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $159 | −$3 −1.8% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 805d | No | 205 | 71¢ → 77¢ | $157 | +$11 +7.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 557 | 25¢ → 28¢ | $153 | +$14 +9.8% |
| Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 164d | Yes | 3,000 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $144 | +$116 +420% |
