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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuisance Bear | 34% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 33¢ · 34¢ (1¢) | — | in 142d |
| Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party | 23% | −5 pts | +8 pts | 22¢ · 23¢ (1¢) | $3K | in 142d |
| You Can See Everything | 91% | +4 pts | +7 pts | 90¢ · 92¢ (2¢) | $1.62K | in 142d |
| 14th | 44% | +2 pts | +7 pts | 43¢ · 44¢ (1¢) | — | in 142d |
| Once Upon a Time in Harlem | 55% | −14 pts | −13 pts | 40¢ · 70¢ (30¢) | $600 | in 142d |
| Musk | 35% | +2 pts | +15 pts | 33¢ · 36¢ (3¢) | $100 | in 142d |
| American Doctor | 63% | — | +20 pts | 61¢ · 64¢ (3¢) | $64 | in 142d |
| Tutu | 26% | +5 pts | +5 pts | 25¢ · 26¢ (1¢) | $38.7 | in 142d |
| NAZA | 84% | −2 pts | +3 pts | 83¢ · 84¢ (1¢) | $18 | in 142d |
| One in a Million | 31% | +3 pts | +11 pts | 29¢ · 32¢ (3¢) | $2 | in 142d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
QR175 sharesThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 34¢ for Nuisance Bear means the market gives it about 34%.