| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 12d | No | 427 | 83¢ → 73¢ | $312 | −$43 −12% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 397 | 36¢ → 77¢ | $304 | +$163 +116% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?Ends in 3d | No | 260 | 78¢ → 74¢ | $192 | −$10 −5.1% |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?Ends in 32d | No | 281 | 76¢ → 51¢ | $143 | −$70 −33% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 1,661 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $141 | −$8 −5.6% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?Ends in 12d | No | 230 | 75¢ → 58¢ | $134 | −$38 −22% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 278 | 50¢ → 48¢ | $132 | −$7 −5.0% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 200 | 75¢ → 60¢ | $119 | −$31 −21% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | No | 499 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $117 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 70d | No | 378 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $98 | −$4 −3.7% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?Ends in 12d | No | 180 | 75¢ → 55¢ | $98 | −$37 −27% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 161 | 69¢ → 61¢ | $97 | −$14 −12% |
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 234 | 54¢ → 42¢ | $97 | −$29 −23% |
| Will Natalia Silva fight Alexa Grasso next?Ends in 347d | No | 387 | 37¢ → 24¢ | $93 | −$50 −35% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 146 | 60¢ → 53¢ | $77 | −$11 −13% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 607 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $70 | −$3 −4.2% |
| Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 90d | No | 87 | 89¢ → 80¢ | $69 | −$8 −11% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Ends in 343d | No | 88 | 84¢ → 71¢ | $62 | −$12 −16% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 2d | No | 796 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $60 | −$20 −25% |
| Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?Ends in 11d | No | 93 | 84¢ → 59¢ | $55 | −$24 −30% |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 83 | 89¢ → 64¢ | $53 | −$21 −28% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 113 | 47¢ → 46¢ | $51 | −$2 −3.2% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?Ends in 12d | No | 79 | 84¢ → 63¢ | $50 | −$17 −25% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 134 | 46¢ → 36¢ | $48 | −$14 −23% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo join the Saudi Pro League next?Ends in 313d | No | 95 | 84¢ → 50¢ | $47 | −$33 −41% |
| Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Ends in 156d | No | 64 | 75¢ → 65¢ | $41 | −$7 −14% |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?Ends in 69d | Yes | 315 | 29¢ → 13¢ | $41 | −$50 −55% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 103 | 69¢ → 37¢ | $38 | −$33 −46% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 367d | Yes | 80 | 47¢ → 47¢ | $37 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Barcelona score the most goals in the UCL league phase?Ends in 128d | Yes | 174 | 46¢ → 21¢ | $37 | −$44 −54% |
| Will Derke play for Team Vitality in 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 83 | 82¢ → 43¢ | $36 | −$32 −48% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?Ends in 12d | No | 59 | 72¢ → 60¢ | $35 | −$7 −17% |
| Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 90d | Yes | 328 | 23¢ → 11¢ | $34 | −$41 −54% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 12d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 68¢ | $34 | −$4 −11% |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?Ends in 251d | No | 78 | 70¢ → 44¢ | $34 | −$21 −38% |
| Will "Nuisance Bear" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 67¢ | $34 | −$10 −22% |
| Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 39d | Yes | 54 | 76¢ → 60¢ | $32 | −$9 −22% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 12d | No | 45 | 80¢ → 72¢ | $32 | −$4 −10% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 5d | No | 170 | 40¢ → 19¢ | $32 | −$37 −53% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 48 | 84¢ → 67¢ | $32 | −$8 −20% |
| Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | No | 61 | 85¢ → 52¢ | $32 | −$20 −39% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?Ends in 12d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 59¢ | $30 | −$7 −18% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Egypt win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group B?Ends in 159d | No | 86 | 56¢ → 34¢ | $29 | −$19 −39% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 51 | 77¢ → 57¢ | $29 | −$10 −26% |
| Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 160d | Yes | 170 | 35¢ → 17¢ | $29 | −$31 −51% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 73 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $29 | +$1 +3.9% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 39d | No | 90 | 81¢ → 31¢ | $28 | −$45 −62% |
| Will Paul Franklin (steel guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 27d | No | 53 | 68¢ → 52¢ | $28 | −$8 −24% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 91d | No | 82 | 93¢ → 33¢ | $27 | −$49 −64% |
| Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 49 | 63¢ → 55¢ | $27 | −$4 −13% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?Ends in 160d | Yes | 100 | 37¢ → 26¢ | $26 | −$11 −30% |
| Will "Coward" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 152 | 29¢ → 17¢ | $25 | −$19 −43% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 237 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $25 | −$1 −4.5% |
| Will "Backrooms" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 142 | 31¢ → 18¢ | $25 | −$19 −44% |
| Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 75 | 52¢ → 33¢ | $25 | −$14 −37% |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 110 | 39¢ → 22¢ | $24 | −$19 −44% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 59 | 58¢ → 41¢ | $24 | −$10 −29% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 56¢ → 48¢ | $24 | −$4 −14% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 57 | 61¢ → 41¢ | $23 | −$12 −34% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 355 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $23 | −$2 −7.1% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?Ends in 12d | Yes | 72 | 48¢ → 31¢ | $22 | −$12 −35% |
| Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 2d | No | 57 | 59¢ → 39¢ | $22 | −$12 −35% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 41 | 81¢ → 53¢ | $22 | −$12 −35% |
| JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 190 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $21 | −$17 −45% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 33 | 59¢ → 63¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 181 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $21 | −$16 −43% |
| Will "Ink" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 151 | 24¢ → 14¢ | $20 | −$16 −44% |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October?Ends in 22d | Yes | 121 | 25¢ → 17¢ | $20 | −$10 −34% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 38,852 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $19 | −$417 −96% |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 38,852 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $19 | −$417 −96% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 38,852 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $19 | −$417 −96% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 38,852 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $19 | −$417 −96% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 38,852 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $19 | −$417 −96% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $18 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 36,546 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $18 | −$392 −96% |
| Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 50 | 52¢ → 36¢ | $18 | −$8 −32% |
| Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 39d | No | 51 | 74¢ → 34¢ | $17 | −$21 −54% |
| Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 287 | 26¢ → 6¢ | $17 | −$57 −77% |
| Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 2d | No | 37 | 58¢ → 47¢ | $17 | −$4 −20% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Ends in 160d | Yes | 88 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $17 | −$1 −7.1% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 56 | 55¢ → 31¢ | $17 | −$14 −45% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Ends in 88d | Yes | 78 | 43¢ → 22¢ | $17 | −$17 −50% |
| Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be between 16% and 17%?Ends in 40d | No | 29 | 75¢ → 59¢ | $17 | −$5 −22% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 125 | 26¢ → 14¢ | $17 | −$16 −48% |
| Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 48 | 37¢ → 35¢ | $17 | −$1 −5.4% |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89% to 90.5%?Ends in 12d | No | 23 | 81¢ → 71¢ | $16 | −$2 −12% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Ends in 3d | No | 27 | 69¢ → 60¢ | $16 | −$3 −14% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 359 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $16 | −$2 −10% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 32,247 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $16 | −$346 −96% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 38 | 68¢ → 42¢ | $16 | −$10 −38% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 17 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 32 | 58¢ → 48¢ | $15 | −$3 −18% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 435d | No | 56 | 33¢ → 27¢ | $15 | −$3 −18% |
| Will "Too Much to Ask" from Ray Gunn be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 143d | Yes | 116 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $15 | −$12 −43% |
| Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between October 26-November 1?Ends in 10d | No | 22 | 75¢ → 67¢ | $14 | −$2 −11% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 99 | 31¢ → 14¢ | $14 | −$16 −53% |
| Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 366 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $14 | −$5 −25% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?Ends in 227d | No | 29 | 68¢ → 47¢ | $13 | −$6 −32% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 12d | No | 26 | 59¢ → 49¢ | $13 | −$3 −18% |
