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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $300M | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 70d |
| $200M | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $3B | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $50M | 3% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $2B | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $500M | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $4B | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $75M | 4% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $1B | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 70d |
| $700M | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | $142 | in 70d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34d |  twe2nty | $300M | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,292 | +$53 +4.1% | 2 |
| 34d | twe2nty | $500M | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $2,030 | +$71 +3.5% | 2 |
| 34d | twe2nty | $700M | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,045 | +$17 +1.6% | 3 |
| 54d |  Kharekk | $200M | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $1,091 | +$60 +5.5% | 2 |
| 82d | twe2nty | $50M | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $2,837 | +$222 +7.8% | 2 |
| 99d | hose | $100M | BuyNo80¢ → 97¢ | $3,850 | +$825 +21% | 2 |
| 119d | ThinhXoan | $100M | BuyNo60¢ → 97¢ | $3,241 | +$2,007 +62% | 2 |
| 133d | 0x16351b85A6160e7A3759Ec20603e7C14e4245623 fills | $100M | BuyNo47¢ → 97¢ | $4,573 | +$4,951 +108% | 3 |
| 138d | 0x16351b85A6160e7A3759Ec20603e7C14e424562 | $200M | BuyYes34¢ → 2¢ | $1,135 | −$1,073 −95% | 2 |
| 142d |  mainantagonist | $200M | BuyNo53¢ → 98¢ | $1,256 | +$1,076 +86% | 2 |
| 295d | twe2nty | $3B | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $2,318 | +$77 +3.3% | 2 |
| 328d |  DavidTrezeguet | $3B | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $3,244 | +$180 +5.5% | 2 |
Dr.PNL474 shares
balthazar283 shares
donmaximi557 sharestwe2nty274 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ostium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ostium doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for $100M means the market gives it about 3%.