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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +21 pts | — | 48¢ · 99¢ (51¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200d | stinkbidbot | Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5? | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,721 | −$1,721 −100% | 4 |
6Ch1ef91,100 shares
Psychomer35 shares
bjprolo25 shares
Faston12 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.