| Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,394 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $1,356 | +$98 +7.8% |
| Next James Bond announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 400 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $398 | +$77 +24% |
| Will White House post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 398 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $397 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will AP call US House control by December 31, 11:59 PM?Ends in 69d | Yes | 303 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $301 | +$11 +3.7% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 300 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $298 | +$16 +5.8% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $285 | +$12 +4.4% |
| OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 321 | 68¢ → 88¢ | $282 | +$64 +29% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?Ends in 23d | Yes | 291 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $282 | +$13 +4.8% |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 277 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $276 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 277 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $274 | −$2 −0.7% |
| Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 200 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $197 | +$17 +9.3% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 190 | 66¢ → 98¢ | $187 | +$61 +48% |
| Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $186 | $0 0.0% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?Ends in 11d | No | 290 | 75¢ → 58¢ | $168 | −$48 −22% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 30, 11:59 PM?Ends in 38d | Yes | 161 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $157 | +$3 +1.8% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 150 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $148 | +$17 +13% |
| Will Olivier Giroud retire before 1 July 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 200 | 50¢ → 72¢ | $144 | +$44 +44% |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 146 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $139 | +$8 +6.3% |
| Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 175 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $135 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | Yes | 164 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $126 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 110 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $87 | +$2 +1.9% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 120 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $80 | +$6 +8.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 155 | 40¢ → 51¢ | $79 | +$17 +28% |
| Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 100 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $78 | +$3 +3.3% |
| Will Sandra Hüller be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 100 | 54¢ → 76¢ | $76 | +$22 +40% |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 100 | 75¢ → 74¢ | $74 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will John Leguizamo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 100 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $73 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 100 | 76¢ → 71¢ | $71 | −$5 −6.6% |
| Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 100 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $71 | −$2 −2.7% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 51¢ → 71¢ | $71 | +$20 +38% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 102 | 34¢ → 63¢ | $64 | +$29 +84% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?Ends in 2d | Yes | 100 | 48¢ → 64¢ | $64 | +$16 +34% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?Ends in 21d | Yes | 62 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $61 | +$2 +3.1% |
| Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | Yes | 100 | 56¢ → 61¢ | $60 | +$4 +8.0% |
| Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | Yes | 140 | 41¢ → 43¢ | $60 | +$3 +4.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 60 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $59 | +$7 +14% |
| Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 70 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $58 | +$6 +11% |
| OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 90 | 51¢ → 65¢ | $58 | +$12 +27% |
| Will "Once Upon a Time in Harlem" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 100 | 64¢ → 58¢ | $58 | −$6 −8.8% |
| Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Ends ended | No | 58 | 50¢ → 93¢ | $54 | +$25 +87% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 65 | 61¢ → 83¢ | $54 | +$14 +34% |
| Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?Ends in 4d | No | 50 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $49 | −$7 −12% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 57 | 35¢ → 84¢ | $48 | +$28 +141% |
| Will Ali Khamenei rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 90 | 35¢ → 53¢ | $48 | +$17 +53% |
| Next James Bond announced by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 60 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $47 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Trump say "Visa" in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 47¢ → 44¢ | $44 | −$3 −7.4% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before the midterms?Ends in 10d | No | 70 | 46¢ → 60¢ | $42 | +$10 +30% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 51 | 52¢ → 83¢ | $42 | +$16 +59% |
| Will Verizon say "Simplicity" during earnings call?Ends in 3d | Yes | 75 | 72¢ → 56¢ | $42 | −$12 −23% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 290 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $41 | +$15 +56% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?Ends in 5d | Yes | 50 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $40 | +$4 +9.6% |
| Will Trump say "Electric" or "Electricity" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?Ends in 2d | Yes | 70 | 50¢ → 56¢ | $39 | +$4 +12% |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 53¢ → 77¢ | $38 | +$12 +44% |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Ends ended | Yes | 70 | 57¢ → 53¢ | $37 | −$3 −8.1% |
| Will "Bad and Boujee" by Migos, Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 41d | Yes | 94 | 11¢ → 37¢ | $35 | +$24 +224% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?Ends in 5d | No | 50 | 53¢ → 67¢ | $34 | +$7 +26% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 100 | 59¢ → 33¢ | $33 | −$26 −44% |
| Will AP call US Senate control by November 13, 11:59 PM?Ends in 21d | Yes | 41 | 86¢ → 78¢ | $32 | −$3 −9.9% |
| Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 70 | 54¢ → 45¢ | $32 | −$6 −17% |
| Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 100 | 46¢ → 31¢ | $31 | −$15 −33% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 335 | 20¢ → 9¢ | $30 | −$36 −54% |
| Will "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 41d | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 30¢ | $30 | +$15 +100% |
| Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $30 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?Ends in 2d | Yes | 60 | 49¢ → 48¢ | $29 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 63 | 35¢ → 46¢ | $29 | +$6 +29% |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 202 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $28 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?Ends in 4d | Yes | 50 | 40¢ → 56¢ | $28 | +$8 +41% |
| Will "God is Shy" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 69¢ | $28 | +$18 +176% |
| Will Trump say "Airbus" in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 60 | 39¢ → 46¢ | $27 | +$4 +17% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $27 | −$13 −33% |
| Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 41d | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 27¢ | $27 | +$14 +104% |
| Will Verizon say "Simplicity" during earnings call?Ends in 3d | No | 58 | 39¢ → 44¢ | $26 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 40 | 72¢ → 64¢ | $25 | −$3 −12% |
| Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?Ends in 9d | No | 50 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $25 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 33d | Yes | 30 | 41¢ → 76¢ | $23 | +$10 +84% |
| Will "God's Plan" by Drake be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 41d | Yes | 100 | 12¢ → 22¢ | $22 | +$10 +79% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $21 | −$24 −53% |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 21 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 37 | 56¢ → 54¢ | $20 | −$1 −4.7% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$3 +16% |
| Will Trump post "Moon" or "UFO" or "UAP" on Truth Social this week?Ends in 2d | Yes | 39 | 10¢ → 50¢ | $19 | +$15 +384% |
| Will Trump post "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week?Ends in 2d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 38¢ | $19 | −$6 −25% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 53¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$8 +73% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 4, 11:59 PM?Ends in 12d | No | 133 | 18¢ → 13¢ | $17 | −$7 −29% |
| Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 20 | 67¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$3 +23% |
| Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?Ends in 4d | No | 57 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $16 | −$2 −9.3% |
| Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?Ends in 4d | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 32¢ | $16 | +$6 +57% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → 70¢ | $14 | +$4 +34% |
| Will Trump say "Four More Years" this week?Ends in 2d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 27¢ | $13 | −$12 −47% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 16¢ → 7¢ | $13 | −$19 −59% |
| Will "The Baddest Speechwriter of All" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 64¢ | $13 | +$6 +78% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 20 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $13 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 41 | 19¢ → 31¢ | $13 | +$5 +61% |
| Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 20 | 34¢ → 63¢ | $13 | +$6 +84% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $12 | −$1 −6.2% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $12 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 33d | Yes | 40 | 33¢ → 29¢ | $12 | −$2 −12% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo retire before 1 July 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 38 | 52¢ → 29¢ | $11 | −$9 −44% |
| Will "Paper Trail" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 52¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.0% |
