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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 15 | 0% | 0 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 342d | Ikkk852 | November 15 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,629 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 343d |  halker | November 15 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,756 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 344d | wenyingwang | November 15 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,207 | −$38 −0.9% | — |
| 344d | oddzier | November 15 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,973 | −$35 −0.7% | — |
| 344d | cnfiguridofjnfke2 fills | November 15 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,702 | +$703 +12% | 6 |
| 344d | profg | November 15 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$63 −5.9% | — |
| 344d |  Economus | November 15 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,321 | −$241 −10% | — |
| 344d |  O3O.legacy.02 fills | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,725 | +$41 +1.1% | 4 |
| 344d | Ikkk852 | November 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 344d | oddzier | November 15 | BuyNo30¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$3,479 +233% | 11 |
| 345d | hollyber | November 15 | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,286 | −$1,286 −100% | 8 |
| 345d | qwerkk | November 15 | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $2,001 | −$2,001 −100% | 9 |
| 345d | newtesting | November 15 | SellYes65¢ → 0¢ | $1,506 | +$1,506 +100% | — |
| 346d | torrest2 fills | November 15 | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $5,418 | −$5,418 −100% | 6 |
| 347d | wenyingwang | November 15 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $6,524 | +$1,555 +24% | 5 |
| 348d | halker | November 15 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,067 | +$95 +8.9% | 5 |
| 348d |  balck | November 15 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,207 | +$172 +14% | 5 |
| 358d | balck2 fills | October 31 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,491 | −$196 −5.6% | — |
| 358d | Ikkk852 | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,005 | −$28 −1.4% | — |
| 358d | newtesting | October 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,830 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 359d |  Oompa-Loompa | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,503 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 359d | kzo123 | October 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 360d | rhkdus | October 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,274 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 365d | cnfiguridofjnfke | October 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $11,787 | +$2,414 +20% | 5 |
| 365d | mryy | October 31 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,527 | +$593 +23% | 5 |
| 365d | rhkdus | October 31 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$270 +24% | 5 |
| 365d | oddzier | October 31 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$265 +26% | 4 |
| 368d | Dbrain2 fills | October 31 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $7,550 | −$1,239 −16% | — |
| 368d | 888j7 fills | October 31 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $29,729 | +$11,262 +38% | 4 |
| 368d | Zodia | October 31 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$111 +11% | 4 |
| 369d |  BenjarninNetanyahu3 fills | October 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $5,297 | +$1,105 +21% | 4 |
| 374d | nonkenny90 | October 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,571 | +$118 +7.5% | 4 |
| 374d | abusivienejskx | October 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,421 | +$79 +5.6% | 4 |
| 374d | torrest6 fills | October 31 | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $11,846 | −$11,846 −100% | 4 |
| 379d | balck | October 31 | BuyNo20¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$4,000 +400% | 4 |
| 379d | balck | October 31 | SellYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,734 | +$1,734 +100% | — |
| 380d |  ..1. | October 31 | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,048 | −$1,048 −100% | 4 |
| 381d |  LMH8t3 | October 31 | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | +$1,853 +115% | 4 |
| 387d |  CrowdOracle | October 31 | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$1,725 +150% | 4 |
| 389d | seyo | October 31 | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $2,044 | −$2,044 −100% | 4 |
edge-men3,123 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Park Sung-jae spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between September 25 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 0%.
