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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 768d | professorx | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,760 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 768d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,683 | −$21 −0.4% | — | |
| 769d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,309 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 769d | tuturu | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,411 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 770d | Ten-566 | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 772d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,554 | +$171 +1.6% | 4 | |
| 773d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,268 | +$91 +1.7% | 4 | |
| 773d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,215 | −$68 −3.1% | — | |
| 773d | Bowser | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,942 | −$58 −3.0% | — |
| 773d | Conduit2 | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,520 | −$166 −2.5% | — |
| 774d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,571 | +$297 +3.1% | 4 | |
| 776d | Nonstop-Disclosure | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,689 | +$66 +2.5% | 4 |
| 777d | hideo | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,022 | −$96 −4.8% | — |
| 777d | Conduit2 | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,419 | +$268 +4.2% | 4 |
| 777d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,005 | −$597 −5.4% | — | |
| 778d | hideo | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$47 +4.6% | 4 |
| 778d | 0xfd812 fills | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,691 | −$120 −4.5% | — |
| 779d | 0xfd819 fills | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $101,878 | +$6,581 +6.5% | 4 |
| 780d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | −$115 −5.5% | — | |
| 780d | Bold-Evolution | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$78 +5.7% | 4 |
| 781d | AXX | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$72 −6.5% | — |
| 781d | Breezy-Entrance | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,547 | +$472 +7.2% | 4 |
| 781d | khabib-706 | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,486 | +$332 +7.4% | 4 |
| 782d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $10,789 | +$812 +7.5% | 4 | |
| 782d | AcidBurn957 fills | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $18,498 | +$900 +4.9% | 4 |
| 783d | Hunter-Biden3 fills | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $37,667 | +$3,556 +9.4% | 4 |
| 784d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | +$124 +8.6% | 4 | |
| 784d | Pedro555 | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,222 | +$204 +9.2% | 4 |
| 784d | okcoolstorybro | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | +$136 +9.4% | 4 |
| 784d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,418 | +$491 +11% | 4 | |
| 784d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,298 | +$324 +9.8% | 4 | |
| 784d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,686 | +$713 +6.7% | 4 | |
| 784d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 7 | |
| 785d | kingfisher | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 4 |
| 785d | anon15652 fills | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $22,294 | −$2,225 −10.0% | — |
| 786d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $12,116 | +$923 +7.6% | 4 | |
| 786d | bluejay | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,641 | +$94 +5.7% | 4 |
| 786d | anon1565 | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $5,962 | +$891 +15% | 4 |
| 786d | sdffcgfsdgh | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,099 | −$1,099 −100% | 5 |
| 786d | Andrii7711 | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,345 | −$1,345 −100% | 6 |
| 787d | Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15? | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | −$1,900 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Pavel Durov has left France for any length of time between August 25, 2024, and September 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Durov may have exited French airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than France for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Durov exits French maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Durov left France, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.