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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +34 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 786d |  50Whence2 fills | Pavel Durov released before October? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,440 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 786d |  elmcap2 | Pavel Durov released before October? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,526 | +$76 +1.0% | 20 |
| 786d | poptree3 fills | Pavel Durov released before October? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $8,688 | +$716 +8.2% | 20 |
| 786d | AcidBurn95 | Pavel Durov released before October? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,056 | +$743 +24% | 20 |
| 786d | Champ2 fills | Pavel Durov released before October? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $19,000 | +$6,417 +34% | 20 |
| 787d |  Atsegine | Pavel Durov released before October? | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,920 | −$1,920 −100% | 23 |
| 787d | pooperjohn | Pavel Durov released before October? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,790 | +$469 +26% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pavel Durov is released from custody by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Durov is released from custody by the resolution date but remains in house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". Transporting Durov to another location of custody will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.